Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 74
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 PM CDT Tue Mar 29 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western Arkansas
Eastern and South-Central Oklahoma
North Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 1150 PM
until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Linearly organized bands of storms will continue
east-northeastward across central/eastern Oklahoma into western
Arkansas as well as North Texas overnight. Strengthening low-level
shear and some increase in low-level moisture is concerning for the
potential for a few QLCS-related tornadoes aside from damaging
winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Fayetteville AR
to 35 miles west southwest of Corsicana TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 70...WW 72...WW 73...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 74 TORNADO AR OK TX 300450Z - 301200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/ - 35WSW CRS/CORSICANA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33WNW RZC - 19ENE ACT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 36459366 31839593 31839797 36459582
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 74 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 74
VALID 300735Z - 300840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE BWD
TO 30 N FTW TO 30 E CQB TO 30 W GMJ.
..BROYLES..03/30/22
ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...SHV...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 74
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-033-131-143-300840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CRAWFORD SEBASTIAN
WASHINGTON
$$
OKC001-005-013-021-023-029-041-061-063-069-077-079-089-091-095-
097-101-111-115-121-123-127-135-145-300840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ATOKA BRYAN
CHEROKEE CHOCTAW COAL
DELAWARE HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN MCINTOSH MARSHALL
MAYES MUSKOGEE OKMULGEE
OTTAWA PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA SEQUOYAH WAGONER
$$
TXC035-085-113-119-121-139-147-159-181-213-217-223-231-251-257-
277-349-379-387-397-423-439-449-467-499-300840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOSQUE COLLIN DALLAS
DELTA DENTON ELLIS
FANNIN FRANKLIN GRAYSON
HENDERSON HILL HOPKINS
HUNT JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMAR NAVARRO RAINS
RED RIVER ROCKWALL SMITH
TARRANT TITUS VAN ZANDT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.