Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 86
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North and central Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1040 AM
until 500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A pre-frontal band of thunderstorms will continue to
develop slowly southeastward from north into central Florida through
the afternoon. Embedded storms will be capable of producing
damaging winds of 60-70 mph, while the potential for a couple of
tornadoes will be greater with any isolated supercells that can form
just ahead of the main line of storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles south southwest of Cross
City FL to 25 miles east of St Augustine FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.
...Thompson
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 86
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
North and central Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1040 AM
until 500 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A pre-frontal band of thunderstorms will continue to
develop slowly southeastward from north into central Florida through
the afternoon. Embedded storms will be capable of producing
damaging winds of 60-70 mph, while the potential for a couple of
tornadoes will be greater with any isolated supercells that can form
just ahead of the main line of storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles south southwest of Cross
City FL to 25 miles east of St Augustine FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 85...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 86 TORNADO FL CW 031440Z - 032100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60SSW CTY/CROSS CITY FL/ - 25E SGJ/ST AUGUSTINE FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /52SSW CTY - 38SE CRG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 29708348 30848091 29108091 27968348
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 86 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 86
VALID 031815Z - 031940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW PIE
TO 20 E GNV TO 15 WSW SGJ.
..LYONS..04/03/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC017-035-053-069-083-095-101-107-109-117-119-127-031940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CITRUS FLAGLER HERNANDO
LAKE MARION ORANGE
PASCO PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
SEMINOLE SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ454-550-031940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 86
VALID 031645Z - 031740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW CTY
TO 20 SE CTY TO 35 ENE SGJ.
..GLEASON..04/03/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-017-035-053-069-075-083-095-101-107-109-117-119-127-
031740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO LAKE LEVY
MARION ORANGE PASCO
PUTNAM ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE
SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-GMZ850-031740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 86
VALID 031535Z - 031640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..04/03/24
ATTN...WFO...JAX...TBW...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 86
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC001-007-017-019-031-035-041-053-069-075-083-089-095-101-107-
109-117-119-125-127-031640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALACHUA BRADFORD CITRUS
CLAY DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HERNANDO LAKE
LEVY MARION NASSAU
ORANGE PASCO PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
UNION VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-GMZ850-031640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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