Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 125
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
840 AM EDT Wed Apr 5 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Indiana
Lower Michigan
Northwest Ohio
Lake Erie
Lake Huron
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 840 AM
until 400 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop and
spread across the watch area from west to east. Damaging
thunderstorm gusts and a couple of tornadoes will be the primary
severe hazards with the more intense thunderstorms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Saginaw MI to 55
miles southwest of Fort Wayne IN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...WW 122...WW
123...WW 124...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25045.
...Smith/Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 125 TORNADO IN MI OH LE LH LM 051240Z - 052000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NE MBS/SAGINAW MI/ - 55SW FWA/FORT WAYNE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /22NE MBS - 42NNE IND/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 43778212 40408440 40408744 43778533
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 125 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 125
VALID 051820Z - 052000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E MIE TO
25 WSW TOL TO 25 NNW TOL TO 20 SSW MTC.
WW 125 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 052000Z.
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MIC091-115-052000-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LENAWEE MONROE
$$
OHC003-051-069-137-052000-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN FULTON HENRY
PUTNAM
$$
LEZ444-052000-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 125
VALID 051740Z - 051840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE MIE TO
45 W TOL TO 10 SSW MTC.
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-075-051840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS JAY
$$
MIC091-115-051840-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LENAWEE MONROE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LEZ444-051840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 125
VALID 051700Z - 051840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W MIE TO
30 NNW FWA TO 25 S JXN TO 15 SE FNT TO 45 E BAX.
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-033-053-069-075-179-183-051840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
DE KALB GRANT HUNTINGTON
JAY WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC087-091-099-115-125-147-151-161-163-051840-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAPEER LENAWEE MACOMB
MONROE OAKLAND ST. CLAIR
SANILAC WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ442-443-051840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 125
VALID 051615Z - 051740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE LAF
TO 40 WNW FWA TO 15 NW JXN TO 15 N FNT TO 30 ENE BAX.
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-033-053-069-075-103-113-151-169-179-183-051740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
DE KALB GRANT HUNTINGTON
JAY MIAMI NOBLE
STEUBEN WABASH WELLS
WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-049-059-065-075-087-091-093-099-115-125-147-151-161-163-
051740-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH GENESEE HILLSDALE
INGHAM JACKSON LAPEER
LENAWEE LIVINGSTON MACOMB
MONROE OAKLAND ST. CLAIR
SANILAC WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ442-443-051740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 125
VALID 051545Z - 051640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S LAF TO
35 SSE SBN TO 10 SSW AZO TO 5 NNE LAN TO 25 WNW BAX.
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-017-033-039-053-069-075-085-087-103-113-151-169-
179-183-051640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
CASS DE KALB ELKHART
GRANT HUNTINGTON JAY
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE MIAMI
NOBLE STEUBEN WABASH
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC023-025-049-059-063-065-075-087-091-093-099-115-125-147-149-
151-155-157-161-163-051640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH CALHOUN GENESEE
HILLSDALE HURON INGHAM
JACKSON LAPEER LENAWEE
LIVINGSTON MACOMB MONROE
OAKLAND ST. CLAIR ST. JOSEPH
SANILAC SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA
WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ441-442-443-051640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 125
VALID 051515Z - 051640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW LAF
TO 20 E BEH TO 25 NW LAN TO 35 SSE HTL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 483
..SQUITIERI..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-075-085-087-099-103-113-
141-151-169-179-181-183-051640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
CASS DE KALB ELKHART
FULTON GRANT HUNTINGTON
JAY KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
MARSHALL MIAMI NOBLE
ST. JOSEPH STEUBEN WABASH
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC015-017-023-025-027-037-045-049-057-059-063-065-075-077-087-
091-093-099-111-115-125-145-147-149-151-155-157-161-163-
051640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BAY BRANCH
CALHOUN CASS CLINTON
EATON GENESEE GRATIOT
HILLSDALE HURON INGHAM
JACKSON KALAMAZOO LAPEER
LENAWEE LIVINGSTON MACOMB
MIDLAND MONROE OAKLAND
SAGINAW ST. CLAIR ST. JOSEPH
SANILAC SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA
WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ441-442-443-051640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 125
VALID 051425Z - 051540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..04/05/23
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-017-033-039-049-053-069-075-085-087-091-099-103-
113-131-141-149-151-169-179-181-183-051540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
CASS DE KALB ELKHART
FULTON GRANT HUNTINGTON
JAY KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LA PORTE MARSHALL MIAMI
NOBLE PULASKI ST. JOSEPH
STARKE STEUBEN WABASH
WELLS WHITE WHITLEY
$$
MIC005-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-057-059-063-065-067-
073-075-077-081-087-091-093-099-107-111-115-117-125-139-145-147-
149-151-155-157-159-161-163-051540-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGAN BARRY BAY
BERRIEN BRANCH CALHOUN
CASS CLINTON EATON
GENESEE GRATIOT HILLSDALE
HURON INGHAM IONIA
ISABELLA JACKSON KALAMAZOO
KENT LAPEER LENAWEE
LIVINGSTON MACOMB MECOSTA
MIDLAND MONROE MONTCALM
OAKLAND OTTAWA SAGINAW
ST. CLAIR ST. JOSEPH SANILAC
SHIAWASSEE TUSCOLA VAN BUREN
WASHTENAW WAYNE
$$
OHC003-039-051-069-125-137-161-171-051540-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DEFIANCE FULTON
HENRY PAULDING PUTNAM
VAN WERT WILLIAMS
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ444-LHZ441-442-443-LMZ043-046-080-844-845-876-
878-051540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
LAKE MICHIGAN MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID-LINE OF LAKE.
ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI
SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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