Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 130
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Arkansas
Missouri Bootheel
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 910 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to move
generally southeastward across the region, with the strongest storms
capable of mostly a damaging wind and hail risk through the early
overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 45 miles northeast of Jackson TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 126...WW 128...WW 129...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 130
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Northern Arkansas
Missouri Bootheel
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 910 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected to move
generally southeastward across the region, with the strongest storms
capable of mostly a damaging wind and hail risk through the early
overnight.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 45 miles northeast of Jackson TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 126...WW 128...WW 129...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 130 SEVERE TSTM AR MO TN 190210Z - 190700Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45SSW FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 45NE MKL/JACKSON TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /62NNW LIT - 47E DYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 36259278 36718835 35418835 34959278
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 130 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 130
VALID 190645Z - 190700Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N LIT TO
30 NNW MEM TO 5 SSE DYR TO 45 NE MKL.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 130 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
19/07Z.
..KERR..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC085-093-117-119-147-190700-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI PRAIRIE
PULASKI WOODRUFF
$$
TNC005-017-033-045-053-079-097-190700-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAUDERDALE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 130
VALID 190535Z - 190640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE RUE TO
35 N LIT TO 30 SSW PAH.
..KERR..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC031-037-045-067-085-093-111-117-119-145-147-190640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIGHEAD CROSS FAULKNER
JACKSON LONOKE MISSISSIPPI
POINSETT PRAIRIE PULASKI
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC069-155-190640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-033-045-053-079-095-097-131-183-190640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 130
VALID 190440Z - 190540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N RUE TO
25 NNE BVX TO 15 ESE POF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 492
..DEAN..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-023-029-031-037-045-055-063-067-075-085-093-105-111-117-
119-137-141-145-147-190540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CROSS FAULKNER
GREENE INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
LAWRENCE LONOKE MISSISSIPPI
PERRY POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC069-155-190540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-033-045-053-079-095-097-131-183-190540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 130
VALID 190330Z - 190440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW RUE
TO 20 ESE FLP TO 35 W POF.
..DEAN..04/19/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-023-029-031-037-045-055-063-065-067-075-085-093-105-111-
117-119-121-129-135-137-141-145-147-190440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CROSS FAULKNER
GREENE INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON LAWRENCE LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI PERRY POINSETT
PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH
SEARCY SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC069-155-190440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-033-045-053-079-095-097-131-183-190440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.