Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 149
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1100
PM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe storms will persist eastward
across central/eastern Iowa as well as northwest Missouri, while
additional storms develop late this evening into the overnight
across northeast Kansas. Severe hail and damaging winds are the
primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Waterloo IA to 50 miles south southwest of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 145...WW 146...WW
147...WW 148...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 149
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1100 PM CDT Wed Apr 19 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Northwest Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1100
PM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of strong/severe storms will persist eastward
across central/eastern Iowa as well as northwest Missouri, while
additional storms develop late this evening into the overnight
across northeast Kansas. Severe hail and damaging winds are the
primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Waterloo IA to 50 miles south southwest of Topeka KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 145...WW 146...WW
147...WW 148...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 149 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO 200400Z - 201100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW ALO/WATERLOO IA/ - 50SSW TOP/TOPEKA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /14ESE MCW - 70W BUM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 43009184 38409487 38409708 43009422
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 149 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 149
VALID 201035Z - 201100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW EMP TO
25 SSW TOP TO 5 NW FLV TO 35 NE STJ TO 30 W LWD TO 40 NW IRK.
WW 149 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 201100Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 572
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-031-045-059-087-091-103-111-121-139-177-209-201100-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LYON MIAMI
OSAGE SHAWNEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-095-107-117-129-
165-177-227-201100-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
PLATTE RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 149
VALID 200940Z - 201040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W EMP TO
20 ESE FNB TO 25 ESE SDA TO 40 NE SDA TO 10 SE OXV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 571
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-039-053-117-159-173-175-185-201040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLARKE DECATUR
LUCAS RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-139-177-
197-209-201040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON COFFEY
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LYON MIAMI
MORRIS OSAGE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-107-
117-129-147-165-177-227-201040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS DEKALB
GENTRY GRUNDY HARRISON
HOLT JACKSON LAFAYETTE
LIVINGSTON MERCER NODAWAY
PLATTE RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 149
VALID 200850Z - 200940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE SLN TO
15 ESE MHK TO 30 SW FNB TO 25 NW FNB TO 30 ESE OMA TO 10 SE OXV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 571
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-039-053-117-159-173-175-185-200940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLARKE DECATUR
LUCAS RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-121-127-131-
139-149-177-197-209-200940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LYON
MIAMI MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
107-117-129-147-165-177-227-200940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 149
VALID 200735Z - 200840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE DNS
TO 35 NNE SDA TO 10 SE OXV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 570
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-039-053-117-159-173-175-185-200840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLARKE DECATUR
LUCAS RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-027-029-031-041-043-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-
111-117-121-127-131-139-143-149-157-161-177-197-201-209-
200840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
CLAY CLOUD COFFEY
DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MIAMI
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
107-117-129-147-165-177-227-200840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 149
VALID 200635Z - 200740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE DNS
TO 35 NNE SDA TO 10 SE OXV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 570
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-039-053-117-159-173-175-185-200740-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLARKE DECATUR
LUCAS RINGGOLD TAYLOR
UNION WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-027-029-031-041-043-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-
111-117-121-127-131-139-143-149-157-161-177-197-201-209-
200740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
CLAY CLOUD COFFEY
DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MIAMI
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
107-117-129-147-165-177-227-200740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 149
VALID 200550Z - 200640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..04/20/23
ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...ARX...EAX...TOP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 149
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC003-011-013-015-017-019-023-037-039-049-053-065-067-069-075-
083-099-117-121-125-127-153-159-169-171-173-175-181-185-
200640-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BLACK HAWK
BOONE BREMER BUCHANAN
BUTLER CHICKASAW CLARKE
DALLAS DECATUR FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GRUNDY
HARDIN JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
POLK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-027-029-031-041-043-045-059-061-085-087-091-103-
111-117-121-127-131-139-143-149-157-161-177-197-201-209-
200640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
CLAY CLOUD COFFEY
DICKINSON DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARSHALL MIAMI
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE REPUBLIC
RILEY SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-033-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-
107-117-129-147-165-177-227-200640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE RAY
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.