Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 153
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
925 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 925 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms will likely continue to develop late this evening
into the overnight across portions of the Watch area. The stronger
storms will pose a large hail and severe gust threat.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles west northwest
of Abilene TX to 45 miles east southeast of Dryden TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 149...WW 150...WW
151...WW 152...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 153 SEVERE TSTM TX 280225Z - 281000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50WNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 45ESE 6R6/DRYDEN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /34WNW ABI - 47WNW DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32689944 29790052 29790252 32680151
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 153 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 153
VALID 280725Z - 280840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE 6R6 TO
60 ENE 6R6 TO 45 N JCT TO 20 SE ABI.
..LEITMAN..04/28/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 153
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-083-137-171-265-267-271-299-307-319-327-385-411-435-465-
280840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COLEMAN EDWARDS
GILLESPIE KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LLANO MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD REAL
SAN SABA SUTTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 153
VALID 280545Z - 280640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE 6R6
TO 55 NE 6R6 TO 20 NNE SJT TO 20 S ABI TO 20 NE ABI.
..LEITMAN..04/28/24
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 153
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-095-105-137-171-265-267-271-299-307-319-327-385-
399-411-413-435-451-465-280640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT EDWARDS
GILLESPIE KERR KIMBLE
KINNEY LLANO MCCULLOCH
MASON MENARD REAL
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SUTTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
