Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Mon May 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Central Arkansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Storms, including supercells, will continue to develop and
likely intensify in vicinity of a modifying boundary from eastern
Oklahoma into western/central Arkansas. Large hail and damaging
winds will be possible, at least on an isolated basis. Tornado
potential will also exist with storms along the boundary and as the
low-level jet intensifies toward/after sunset.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Poteau OK
to 50 miles east northeast of Hot Springs AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 171...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Guyer
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
525 PM CDT Mon May 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Central Arkansas
Eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 525 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Storms, including supercells, will continue to develop and
likely intensify in vicinity of a modifying boundary from eastern
Oklahoma into western/central Arkansas. Large hail and damaging
winds will be possible, at least on an isolated basis. Tornado
potential will also exist with storms along the boundary and as the
low-level jet intensifies toward/after sunset.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Poteau OK
to 50 miles east northeast of Hot Springs AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 171...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 172 TORNADO AR OK 022225Z - 030400Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WNW RKR/POTEAU OK/ - 50ENE HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /33NE MLC - 7NW LIT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 35999536 35479229 34029229 34549536
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 172 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 172
VALID 030300Z - 030440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 630
..WENDT..05/03/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-029-033-045-047-051-059-071-083-087-097-105-109-113-115-
119-125-127-131-143-149-030440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CONWAY CRAWFORD
FAULKNER FRANKLIN GARLAND
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MADISON MONTGOMERY PERRY
PIKE POLK POPE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEBASTIAN WASHINGTON YELL
$$
OKC001-061-077-079-135-030440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 172
VALID 030110Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 628
..WENDT..05/03/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-029-033-045-047-051-059-071-083-097-105-109-113-115-119-
125-127-131-149-030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CONWAY CRAWFORD
FAULKNER FRANKLIN GARLAND
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEBASTIAN
YELL
$$
OKC061-077-079-135-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 172
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..05/02/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 172
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-029-033-045-047-051-059-071-083-097-105-109-113-115-119-
125-127-131-149-030040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CONWAY CRAWFORD
FAULKNER FRANKLIN GARLAND
HOT SPRING JOHNSON LOGAN
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEBASTIAN
YELL
$$
OKC061-077-079-135-030040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
