Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 183
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CDT Thu May 5 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest Alabama
South-central Kentucky
Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms are forecast to continue to
develop and intensify during the afternoon and persist into the
evening. A few supercells and line segments will be capable of
mainly a risk for damaging gusts and large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northeast
of Bowling Green KY to 40 miles west southwest of Muscle Shoals AL.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 181...WW 182...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Smith/Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 183 SEVERE TSTM AL KY TN 051935Z - 060200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NNE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 40WSW MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /33NNE BWG - 40WSW MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 37438517 34528730 34528924 37438718
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 183 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 183
VALID 052325Z - 060040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S MKL TO
55 N MSL TO 60 SSW LEX.
..SQUITIERI..05/05/22
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-060040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
$$
KYC171-060040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MONROE
$$
TNC003-055-099-101-103-111-117-119-149-159-165-169-181-187-189-
060040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD GILES LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MACON
MARSHALL MAURY RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 183
VALID 052210Z - 052340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S MKL TO
55 E MKL TO 30 NNW BNA TO 45 S SDF.
..SQUITIERI..05/05/22
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-052340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
$$
KYC003-009-061-087-099-169-171-213-227-052340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN EDMONSON
GREEN HART METCALFE
MONROE SIMPSON WARREN
$$
TNC003-021-037-055-081-099-101-103-111-117-119-147-149-159-165-
169-181-187-189-052340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
GILES HICKMAN LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MACON
MARSHALL MAURY ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE WAYNE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 183
VALID 052025Z - 052140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 661
..WEINMAN..05/05/22
ATTN...WFO...HUN...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 183
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-059-077-079-083-052140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT FRANKLIN LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
$$
KYC003-009-031-047-061-085-087-099-141-169-171-177-183-213-219-
227-052140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BUTLER
CHRISTIAN EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HART LOGAN
METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG
OHIO SIMPSON TODD
WARREN
$$
TNC003-005-017-021-037-039-043-055-077-081-083-085-099-101-103-
111-113-117-119-125-135-147-149-159-161-165-169-181-187-189-
052140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CARROLL
CHEATHAM DAVIDSON DECATUR
DICKSON GILES HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY PERRY
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH
STEWART SUMNER TROUSDALE
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.