Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East Central Illinois
Much of Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will track eastward across the
watch area this afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest
of Bloomington IN to 25 miles northeast of Grand Rapids MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 192...WW 193...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 194
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM EDT Sun May 19 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East Central Illinois
Much of Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 425 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms will track eastward across the
watch area this afternoon and early evening, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south southwest
of Bloomington IN to 25 miles northeast of Grand Rapids MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 192...WW 193...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 194 SEVERE TSTM IL IN MI LM 192025Z - 200200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SSW BMG/BLOOMINGTON IN/ - 25NE GRR/GRAND RAPIDS MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /55SSE TTH - 25NE GRR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38618783 43138616 43138418 38618598
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 194 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 194
VALID 200030Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S BMG TO
25 SE BMG TO 35 E BMG TO 30 S MIE TO 20 SSE MIE TO 40 NE FWA TO
35 SSE AZO TO 30 S AZO TO 20 E LAN.
..WENDT..05/20/19
ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...GRR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC005-031-071-075-079-135-139-151-200140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW DECATUR JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS RANDOLPH
RUSH STEUBEN
$$
MIC023-025-059-065-075-149-200140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH CALHOUN HILLSDALE
INGHAM JACKSON ST. JOSEPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 194
VALID 192355Z - 200040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE EVV
TO 15 SSE BMG TO 25 ESE IND TO 10 NNE MIE TO 25 NE FWA TO 30 E
SBN TO 20 S AZO TO 20 W FNT.
..LEITMAN..05/19/19
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...GRR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-013-027-031-033-065-071-075-079-087-093-101-135-
139-145-151-200040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BROWN DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB HENRY JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS LAGRANGE
LAWRENCE MARTIN RANDOLPH
RUSH SHELBY STEUBEN
$$
MIC023-025-059-065-075-149-200040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRANCH CALHOUN HILLSDALE
INGHAM JACKSON ST. JOSEPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 194
VALID 192220Z - 192340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW EVV
TO 20 NE HUF TO 20 ESE LAF TO 40 ENE LAF TO 35 SSE SBN TO 15 SW
SBN TO 30 NE GRR.
..WENDT..05/19/19
ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...GRR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-005-009-011-013-023-027-031-033-035-039-053-055-057-
059-063-065-067-069-071-075-079-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-101-
103-105-109-113-119-133-135-139-141-145-151-153-159-169-179-183-
192340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BARTHOLOMEW
BLACKFORD BOONE BROWN
CLINTON DAVIESS DECATUR
DE KALB DELAWARE ELKHART
GRANT GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HENRY
HOWARD HUNTINGTON JACKSON
JAY JENNINGS JOHNSON
KNOX KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MORGAN NOBLE OWEN
PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH
ST. JOSEPH SHELBY STEUBEN
SULLIVAN TIPTON WABASH
WELLS WHITLEY
$$
MIC015-023-025-027-037-045-059-065-067-075-077-149-192340-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BRANCH CALHOUN
CASS CLINTON EATON
HILLSDALE INGHAM IONIA
JACKSON KALAMAZOO ST. JOSEPH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.