Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 196
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun May 7 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Colorado
Northwest Kansas
West Central Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop over western
Nebraska into northwest Kansas this afternoon. The strongest cells
are expected to pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Broken Bow NE to 65 miles south of Imperial NE. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 195...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 196 SEVERE TSTM CO KS NE 071930Z - 080100Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW BBW/BROKEN BOW NE/ - 65S IML/IMPERIAL NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /41SSW ANW - 12NNE GLD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 41939925 39570059 39570265 41930139
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 196 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 196
VALID 072335Z - 080040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E GLD TO
20 NW BUB.
..WEINMAN..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-065-137-179-080040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GRAHAM NORTON
SHERIDAN
$$
NEC041-063-145-080040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER FRONTIER RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 196
VALID 072250Z - 072340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW IML TO
30 SSE ANW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 716
..WEINMAN..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-072340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-065-137-153-179-193-072340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
NEC009-029-041-057-063-085-087-101-111-113-115-135-145-072340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CHASE CUSTER
DUNDY FRONTIER HAYES
HITCHCOCK KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP PERKINS
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 196
VALID 072150Z - 072240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E SNY TO
35 SSW ANW.
..WEINMAN..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-072240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-065-137-153-179-193-072240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GRAHAM
NORTON RAWLINS SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
NEC009-029-041-057-063-085-087-101-111-113-115-117-135-145-171-
072240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CHASE CUSTER
DUNDY FRONTIER HAYES
HITCHCOCK KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN LOUP MCPHERSON
PERKINS RED WILLOW THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 196
VALID 072040Z - 072140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..05/07/23
ATTN...WFO...GLD...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC125-072140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-137-153-072140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR NORTON
RAWLINS
$$
NEC005-009-029-041-057-063-085-087-091-101-111-113-115-117-135-
145-171-072140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE CHASE
CUSTER DUNDY FRONTIER
HAYES HITCHCOCK HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
LOUP MCPHERSON PERKINS
RED WILLOW THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.