Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
610 PM CDT Mon May 16 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 610 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Isolated intense thunderstorms continue to form over
eastern New Mexico. This activity will track eastward into west
Texas this evening. The strongest cells will pose a threat of
damaging winds and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north of Guymon
OK to 15 miles southeast of Lubbock TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...WW
229...WW 230...WW 231...WW 232...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 233 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 162310Z - 170600Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20N GUY/GUYMON OK/ - 15SE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /26W LBL - 18SE LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 36960005 33500025 33500302 36960295
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 233 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 233
VALID 170530Z - 170600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CDS
TO 55 ESE BGD TO 25 ENE LBL.
WW 233 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 170600Z.
..LEITMAN..05/17/22
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-170600-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER
$$
TXC087-211-295-483-170600-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH HEMPHILL LIPSCOMB
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 233
VALID 170450Z - 170540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE CDS
TO 15 SE BGD TO 15 WSW LBL.
..SPC..05/17/22
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-139-170540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER TEXAS
$$
TXC087-179-195-211-233-295-357-393-483-170540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLLINGSWORTH GRAY HANSFORD
HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON LIPSCOMB
OCHILTREE ROBERTS WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 233
VALID 170245Z - 170340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE LBB
TO 35 SSW AMA TO 40 ENE TCC.
..SPC..05/17/22
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-025-139-170340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-045-065-075-087-107-111-129-153-179-191-195-205-211-233-
295-341-345-357-359-375-381-393-421-483-170340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY
DALLAM DONLEY FLOYD
GRAY HALL HANSFORD
HARTLEY HEMPHILL HUTCHINSON
LIPSCOMB MOORE MOTLEY
OCHILTREE OLDHAM POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 233
VALID 170140Z - 170240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..05/17/22
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC007-025-139-170240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVER CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-107-111-117-129-153-179-189-
191-195-205-211-219-233-279-295-303-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-
393-421-437-483-170240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH CROSBY
DALLAM DEAF SMITH DONLEY
FLOYD GRAY HALE
HALL HANSFORD HARTLEY
HEMPHILL HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON
LAMB LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
SWISHER WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.