Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Small part of southeastern New Mexico
Texas South Plains and Caprock
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 950 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
threat for severe, perhaps significant/75+ mph gusts, as well as
large hail. A short-fused tornado threat still may develop locally.
Thunderstorms with severe hail and strong gusts also may develop
behind the initial/primary complex and train across parts of the
watch area.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Plainview TX to 80 miles southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 235...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.
...Edwards
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Wed May 24 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Small part of southeastern New Mexico
Texas South Plains and Caprock
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 950 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of severe thunderstorms will continue to pose a
threat for severe, perhaps significant/75+ mph gusts, as well as
large hail. A short-fused tornado threat still may develop locally.
Thunderstorms with severe hail and strong gusts also may develop
behind the initial/primary complex and train across parts of the
watch area.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Plainview TX to 80 miles southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 235...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 236 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 250250Z - 250900Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
35NNW PVW/PLAINVIEW TX/ - 80SW LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /42SSW AMA - 59NNW MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31030.
LAT...LON 34290099 32500185 33180374 34980293
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 236 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 236
VALID 250840Z - 250940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW HOB
TO 40 WNW LBB TO 45 ESE PVW.
..BROYLES..05/25/23
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC107-115-165-169-219-303-305-445-501-250940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROSBY DAWSON GAINES
GARZA HOCKLEY LUBBOCK
LYNN TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 236
VALID 250740Z - 250840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW CVS TO
40 SW CDS.
..BROYLES..05/25/23
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250840-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC017-079-107-115-153-165-169-189-219-279-303-305-445-501-
250840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY COCHRAN CROSBY
DAWSON FLOYD GAINES
GARZA HALE HOCKLEY
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 236
VALID 250555Z - 250640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 N CVS TO
35 WNW PVW TO 45 ENE PVW.
..BROYLES..05/25/23
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250640-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC017-079-107-115-153-165-169-189-219-279-303-305-445-501-
250640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY COCHRAN CROSBY
DAWSON FLOYD GAINES
GARZA HALE HOCKLEY
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 236
VALID 250445Z - 250540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 SW CVS TO
40 E CVS TO 40 SSE AMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 862
..HART..05/25/23
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250540-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC017-069-079-107-115-153-165-169-189-219-279-303-305-437-445-
501-250540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DAWSON FLOYD
GAINES GARZA HALE
HOCKLEY LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN SWISHER TERRY
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 236
VALID 250340Z - 250440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 861
..THORNTON..05/25/23
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 236
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-250440-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC017-069-079-107-115-153-165-169-189-219-279-303-305-369-437-
445-501-250440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DAWSON FLOYD
GAINES GARZA HALE
HOCKLEY LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN PARMER SWISHER
TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.