Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 239
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central New Mexico
Western South Plains of Texas
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A thunderstorm cluster with embedded supercells will
continue to drift slowly south-southeastward early this morning,
with a continuing threat for isolated large hail and severe outflow
gusts for a few more hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west of Cannon
Afb NM to 60 miles east of Cannon Afb NM. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
severe thunderstorm watch number 238. Watch number 238 will not
be in effect after 225 AM CDT.
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
32010.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 239
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 26 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East central New Mexico
Western South Plains of Texas
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A thunderstorm cluster with embedded supercells will
continue to drift slowly south-southeastward early this morning,
with a continuing threat for isolated large hail and severe outflow
gusts for a few more hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles west of Cannon
Afb NM to 60 miles east of Cannon Afb NM. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
severe thunderstorm watch number 238. Watch number 238 will not
be in effect after 225 AM CDT.
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
32010.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 239 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 260725Z - 261200Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65W CVS/CANNON AFB NM/ - 60E CVS/CANNON AFB NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM N/S /63N CME - 29ESE TXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32010.
REPLACES WW 238..NM OK TX
LAT...LON 34810446 34810227 33930227 33930446
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 239 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 239
VALID 260840Z - 260940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/26/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 239
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-011-019-037-041-260940-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY DE BACA GUADALUPE
QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC017-069-369-260940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO PARMER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.