Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 240
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Wed May 18 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central to eastern Kentucky
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 400 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Rather low confidence forecast in severe potential across
this region, but a couple supercells might develop along the
baroclinic zone through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of
Bowling Green KY to 25 miles northeast of London KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Grams
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 240
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Wed May 18 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central to eastern Kentucky
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 400 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Rather low confidence forecast in severe potential across
this region, but a couple supercells might develop along the
baroclinic zone through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of
Bowling Green KY to 25 miles northeast of London KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 238...WW 239...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 240 SEVERE TSTM KY 182100Z - 190200Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NW BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 25NE LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /19NW BWG - 25NE LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 37838668 37998376 36688376 36528668
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 240 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 240
VALID 190125Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CSV
TO 35 WSW LOZ TO 5 W LOZ TO 20 S JKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 820
..BENTLEY..05/19/22
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC121-125-147-235-190240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KNOX LAUREL MCCREARY
WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 240
VALID 190020Z - 190140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/19/22
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-031-045-053-057-061-065-085-087-093-099-109-121-
123-125-137-141-147-155-169-171-179-197-199-203-207-213-217-227-
229-231-235-190140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BUTLER CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON ESTILL
GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN
HART JACKSON KNOX
LARUE LAUREL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCREARY MARION
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 240
VALID 182345Z - 190040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..05/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-031-045-053-057-061-065-085-087-093-099-109-121-
123-125-137-141-147-155-169-171-179-197-199-203-207-213-217-227-
229-231-235-190040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BUTLER CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON ESTILL
GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN
HART JACKSON KNOX
LARUE LAUREL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCREARY MARION
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 240
VALID 182230Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE SDF
TO 35 SSW LEX TO 35 SSE LEX TO 35 ESE LEX TO 40 N JKL.
..BENTLEY..05/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 240
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-031-045-053-057-061-065-085-087-093-099-109-121-
123-125-137-141-147-155-169-171-179-197-199-203-207-213-217-227-
229-231-235-182340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BUTLER CASEY CLINTON
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON ESTILL
GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN
HART JACKSON KNOX
LARUE LAUREL LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCREARY MARION
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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