Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 243
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 245 AM until 1100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms including supercells are
expected to develop through the predawn hours, especially across the
north-central Florida Peninsula. The severe risk/tornado potential
may further increase toward and beyond sunrise across broader
portions of the central Peninsula.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of Saint
Petersburg FL to 20 miles east of Daytona Beach FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Guyer
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 243
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 245 AM until 1100 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms including supercells are
expected to develop through the predawn hours, especially across the
north-central Florida Peninsula. The severe risk/tornado potential
may further increase toward and beyond sunrise across broader
portions of the central Peninsula.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles northwest of Saint
Petersburg FL to 20 miles east of Daytona Beach FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 243 TORNADO FL CW 150645Z - 151500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW PIE/SAINT PETERSBURG FL/ - 20E DAB/DAYTONA BEACH FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /26NW PIE - 22ESE OMN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 29248303 30198072 28178072 27218303
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 243 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 243
VALID 151340Z - 151440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 790
..GLEASON..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-035-053-057-069-075-081-083-095-097-101-103-105-107-
109-117-119-127-151440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-552-GMZ830-850-853-151440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 243
VALID 151240Z - 151340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 790
..DEAN..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-035-053-057-069-075-081-083-095-097-101-103-105-107-
109-117-119-127-151340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-552-GMZ830-850-853-151340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 243
VALID 151050Z - 151140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-035-053-057-069-075-081-083-095-097-101-103-105-107-
109-117-119-127-151140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-552-GMZ830-850-853-151140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 243
VALID 150900Z - 151040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 789
..DEAN..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-035-053-057-069-075-081-083-095-097-101-103-105-107-
109-117-119-127-151040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-552-GMZ830-850-853-151040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 243
VALID 150720Z - 150840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..05/15/24
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 243
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-035-053-057-069-075-081-083-095-097-101-103-105-107-
109-117-119-127-150840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS FLAGLER
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE MARION
ORANGE OSCEOLA PASCO
PINELLAS POLK PUTNAM
ST. JOHNS SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ452-454-550-552-GMZ830-850-853-150840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.