Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 247
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM EDT Thu May 19 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Kentucky
Southwest Virginia
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 440 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered intense thunderstorms capable of hail are
affecting eastern Kentucky. This activity will likely persist for
another few hours and track across the watch area.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles south
southwest of Lexington KY to 75 miles east of Jackson KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 243...WW 244...WW
245...WW 246...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27020.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 247 SEVERE TSTM KY VA 192040Z - 200200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50SSW LEX/LEXINGTON KY/ - 75E JKL/JACKSON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /44WNW LOZ - 45WSW BKW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 38238495 38408201 36668201 36498495
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 247 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 247
VALID 200140Z - 200200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW HTS
TO 10 NNW JKL TO 25 SW LEX.
WW 247 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 200200Z.
..SMITH..05/20/22
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 247
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-063-065-069-165-173-175-197-205-237-200200-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING MENIFEE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN POWELL ROWAN
WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 247
VALID 200045Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N TRI TO
35 NNW LOZ.
..BUNTING..05/20/22
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 247
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-025-063-065-069-071-115-119-129-153-159-165-173-175-189-
195-197-205-237-200140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BREATHITT ELLIOTT
ESTILL FLEMING FLOYD
JOHNSON KNOTT LEE
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PIKE POWELL ROWAN
WOLFE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 247
VALID 192335Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/19/22
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 247
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-
131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231-
235-237-200040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BREATHITT
CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-520-720-200040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 247
VALID 192230Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/19/22
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 247
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-
131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231-
235-237-192340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BREATHITT
CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-520-720-192340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 247
VALID 192125Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..05/19/22
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 247
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-
131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231-
235-237-192240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BREATHITT
CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
VAC105-167-169-191-195-520-720-192240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE RUSSELL SCOTT
WASHINGTON WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.