Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 262
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CDT Sat Jun 10 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and east Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 235 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells are expected to form this afternoon
along and south-through-west of an outflow boundary across the
southern Dallas-Fort Worth Metroplex. The initial discrete storms
will have the potential to produce isolated very large hail up to 3
inches in diameter. Storms will move southeastward this evening
with the potential for upscale growth and an increasing threat for
damaging winds of 60-75 mph. An isolated tornado or two could occur
with supercells along the slow-moving parts of the outflow boundary
late this afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles south
southwest of Stephenville TX to 50 miles northeast of Lufkin TX. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
33025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 262 SEVERE TSTM TX 101935Z - 110300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40SSW SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/ - 50NE LFK/LUFKIN TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /60W ACT - 46NE LFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33025.
LAT...LON 32709844 32759415 30739415 30679844
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 262 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 262
VALID 110145Z - 110240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW AUS TO
30 WNW ACT TO 20 NE ACT TO 15 NNW CRS TO 10 WSW LFK TO 40 SSE LFK.
..LEITMAN..06/11/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-099-145-161-225-289-293-309-313-331-349-373-395-407-455-
110240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL CORYELL FALLS
FREESTONE HOUSTON LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM NAVARRO POLK
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRINITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 262
VALID 110045Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW AUS
TO 25 ENE SEP TO 20 SSE DAL TO 45 SSW SHV.
..SUPINIE..06/11/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-099-139-145-161-185-213-217-225-
251-281-289-293-309-313-331-347-349-373-395-403-405-407-425-455-
471-110140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE CORYELL ELLIS
FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES
HENDERSON HILL HOUSTON
JOHNSON LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
POLK ROBERTSON SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SOMERVELL
TRINITY WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 262
VALID 102340Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N BWD TO
40 NNE MWL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 967
..SUPINIE..06/10/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-113-139-143-145-161-185-
193-213-217-221-225-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-347-349-
363-367-373-395-397-403-405-407-423-425-439-455-467-471-
110040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM MILLS NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PALO PINTO PARKER
POLK ROBERTSON ROCKWALL
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SMITH SOMERVELL TARRANT
TRINITY VAN ZANDT WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 262
VALID 102240Z - 102340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SUPINIE..06/10/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-113-133-139-143-145-161-
185-193-213-217-221-225-237-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-
347-349-363-367-373-395-397-403-405-407-423-425-429-439-455-467-
471-503-102340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOUSTON
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
MILLS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER POLK
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SMITH
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TRINITY VAN ZANDT WALKER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 262
VALID 102140Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SUPINIE..06/10/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-113-133-139-143-145-161-
185-193-213-217-221-225-237-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-
347-349-363-367-373-395-397-403-405-407-423-425-429-439-455-467-
471-503-102240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
DALLAS EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOUSTON
JACK JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
MILLS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER POLK
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SMITH
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TRINITY VAN ZANDT WALKER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 262
VALID 102030Z - 102140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SUPINIE..06/10/23
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 262
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-113-139-143-145-161-185-
193-213-217-221-225-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-347-349-
367-373-395-397-403-405-407-423-425-439-455-467-471-102140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
DALLAS ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FREESTONE GRIMES
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOUSTON JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM MILLS NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PARKER POLK
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SMITH
SOMERVELL TARRANT TRINITY
VAN ZANDT WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.