Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 286
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 AM CDT Sun May 29 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern and Central Minnesota
West-Central Wisconsin
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 535 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Ongoing thunderstorm cluster over southwest Minnesota is
expected to continue northeastward into more of southern and central
Minnesota and eventually west-central Wisconsin. Strong wind gusts
and large to very large hail are possible with this storm cluster
over the next several hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west of
Mankato MN to 70 miles northeast of Rochester MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 285...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Mosier/Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 286 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 291035Z - 291800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40W MKT/MANKATO MN/ - 70NE RST/ROCHESTER MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /23SE RWF - 16S EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 45099473 45509149 43769149 43359473
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 286 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 286
VALID 291530Z - 291640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S EAU TO
30 NW EAU TO 70 NNW EAU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 960
..GLEASON..05/29/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC005-033-291640-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON DUNN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 286
VALID 291440Z - 291540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW LSE TO
35 NE RST TO 40 NNE RST TO 35 E MSP TO 65 NNE MSP.
..GLEASON..05/29/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC005-011-033-091-093-095-109-291540-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO DUNN
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 286
VALID 291340Z - 291440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE RST
TO RST TO 30 SSE MSP TO 25 ESE STC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 959
..GLEASON..05/29/22
ATTN...WFO...MPX...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 286
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-025-037-049-053-109-123-157-163-291440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CHISAGO DAKOTA
GOODHUE HENNEPIN OLMSTED
RAMSEY WABASHA WASHINGTON
$$
WIC005-011-033-091-093-095-109-291440-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO DUNN
PEPIN PIERCE POLK
ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
