Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 312
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest Iowa
Far Northeastern Kansas
Northwest and North-Central Missouri
Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms mainly in the form of strong to
severe clusters will likely develop east across the Watch area
tonight near the terminus of a low-level jet stream. The stronger
bands of storms will be capable of severe gusts. A few elevated
storms may be capable of a large hail risk.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest
of Lincoln NE to 60 miles southeast of Chillicothe MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 308...WW 309...WW
310...WW 311...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 312 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 260245Z - 261000Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WSW LNK/LINCOLN NE/ - 60SE CDJ/CHILLICOTHE MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /55NW PWE - 35NW COU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 41299721 39789279 38629279 40139721
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 312 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 312
VALID 260445Z - 260540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOSIER..05/26/24
ATTN...WFO...OAX...DMX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-145-173-260540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT PAGE TAYLOR
$$
KSC043-260540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DONIPHAN
$$
MOC003-005-021-025-033-041-049-053-061-063-075-079-081-087-089-
107-115-117-147-159-175-177-195-227-260540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CALDWELL CARROLL CHARITON
CLINTON COOPER DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON HOLT HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LINN LIVINGSTON
NODAWAY PETTIS RANDOLPH
RAY SALINE WORTH
$$
NEC025-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-159-260540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS GAGE JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LANCASTER NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE RICHARDSON
SALINE SEWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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