Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 360
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Fri May 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Western Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered clusters of strong to severe thunderstorms are
forecast to develop late this afternoon into the evening. Storms
are forecast to grow upscale into one or more clusters capable of
large hail and severe gusts. The risk for severe gusts will likely
become the primary threat as outflow-driven storms move further into
the Texas Panhandle and northern part of the Texas South Plains this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles west northwest
of Guymon OK to 30 miles south of Cannon Afb NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 360 SEVERE TSTM NM OK TX 312050Z - 010400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50WNW GUY/GUYMON OK/ - 30S CVS/CANNON AFB NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /63ESE TBE - 41SW TXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 36950116 33930219 33930445 36950351
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 360 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 360
VALID 010355Z - 010440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 360
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC079-189-219-303-381-437-010440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COCHRAN HALE HOCKLEY
LUBBOCK RANDALL SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 360
VALID 010155Z - 010240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW TCC
TO 25 WSW DHT TO 15 SSE SPD.
..BROYLES..06/01/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 360
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-021-037-041-059-010240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-010240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-117-189-205-219-279-303-341-359-369-375-381-
421-437-010240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HALE
HARTLEY HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 360
VALID 312300Z - 010040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/31/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 360
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-021-037-041-059-010040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY HARDING QUAY
ROOSEVELT UNION
$$
OKC025-139-010040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC017-069-111-117-205-279-341-359-369-375-381-421-010040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO DALLAM
DEAF SMITH HARTLEY LAMB
MOORE OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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