Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 361
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM MDT Fri May 31 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Colorado
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to develop off the foothills
and move across the plains of eastern Colorado this evening. The
strongest cells will pose a risk of large hail and damaging winds.
An isolated tornado is possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles east northeast
of Limon CO to 35 miles west southwest of Springfield CO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 360...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 361 SEVERE TSTM CO 312145Z - 010500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25ENE LIC/LIMON CO/ - 35WSW SPD/SPRINGFIELD CO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /45S AKO - 22ESE TBE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 39400202 37080203 37080439 39400445
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 361 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 361
VALID 010420Z - 010540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW SPD
TO 25 WSW LHX TO 20 NNW LHX TO 50 SSE ITR.
..HART..06/01/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 361
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-061-089-099-010540-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT KIOWA
OTERO PROWERS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 361
VALID 010235Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW COS
TO 30 NE COS TO 20 NNE ITR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1101
..LYONS..06/01/24
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 361
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-041-061-063-071-073-089-099-101-010340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT EL PASO
KIOWA KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS
LINCOLN OTERO PROWERS
PUEBLO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.