Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central to northern Kansas
Far south-central Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A couple supercells should develop out of high-based
convection spreading east-northeast from western Kansas. This may
eventually form into a small cluster spreading east-southeast this
evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of Hill
City KS to 45 miles east southeast of Salina KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 405 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 232015Z - 240200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30W HLC/HILL CITY KS/ - 45ESE SLN/SALINA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /10NW HLC - 42SE SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 40250039 39419688 37669688 38500039
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 405 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 405
VALID 240115Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW EMP
TO 25 N RSL TO 45 S HSI.
..SQUITIERI..06/24/22
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC027-029-041-061-089-105-123-127-141-143-157-161-169-240240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
GEARY JEWELL LINCOLN
MITCHELL MORRIS OSBORNE
OTTAWA REPUBLIC RILEY
SALINE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 405
VALID 232305Z - 240040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1269
..SQUITIERI..06/23/22
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...DDC...GLD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 405
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-017-027-029-041-051-053-061-063-065-079-089-101-105-113-
115-123-127-135-137-141-143-145-147-155-157-159-161-163-165-167-
169-179-183-185-195-240040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON CHASE CLAY
CLOUD DICKINSON ELLIS
ELLSWORTH GEARY GOVE
GRAHAM HARVEY JEWELL
LANE LINCOLN MCPHERSON
MARION MITCHELL MORRIS
NESS NORTON OSBORNE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PHILLIPS
RENO REPUBLIC RICE
RILEY ROOKS RUSH
RUSSELL SALINE SHERIDAN
SMITH STAFFORD TREGO
$$
NEC061-065-083-129-181-240040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN FURNAS HARLAN
NUCKOLLS WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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