Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 416
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1055 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1055 AM
until 400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of strong/severe storms will
likely continue to progress south-southeastward into and across
Middle Tennessee through early/mid-afternoon, with damaging winds
and occasional hail as the primary concerns.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of
Nashville TN to 75 miles south of Nashville TN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 413...WW 414...WW 415...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
32030.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 416
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1055 AM CDT Thu Jun 29 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1055 AM
until 400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of strong/severe storms will
likely continue to progress south-southeastward into and across
Middle Tennessee through early/mid-afternoon, with damaging winds
and occasional hail as the primary concerns.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of
Nashville TN to 75 miles south of Nashville TN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 413...WW 414...WW 415...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
32030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 416 SEVERE TSTM TN 291555Z - 292100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N BNA/NASHVILLE TN/ - 75S BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /21SSW BWG - 45ENE MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32030.
LAT...LON 36638542 35048544 35048792 36638794
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 416 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 416
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE MKL
TO 25 SSW BNA TO 30 SSE BNA TO 35 SE BNA TO 30 NNE CHA AND 50 NNE
MKL TO 25 NNE CSV.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 416
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC003-031-051-055-061-081-099-101-103-117-119-127-135-181-
292040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD COFFEE FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
PERRY WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 416
VALID 291845Z - 291940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE MKL
TO 25 NNE CSV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 416
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC003-015-031-037-043-051-055-061-081-085-099-101-103-117-119-
127-135-149-177-181-187-189-291940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE
DAVIDSON DICKSON FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HICKMAN
HUMPHREYS LAWRENCE LEWIS
LINCOLN MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY RUTHERFORD
WARREN WAYNE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 416
VALID 291735Z - 291840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 416
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC003-015-021-027-031-037-041-043-051-055-061-081-083-085-087-
099-101-103-111-117-119-125-127-133-135-141-147-149-159-161-165-
169-175-177-181-185-187-189-291840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE DAVIDSON
DE KALB DICKSON FRANKLIN
GILES GRUNDY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MONTGOMERY MOORE OVERTON
PERRY PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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