Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 436
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM MDT Wed Jun 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-Central and South-Central New Mexico
Far West Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 255 PM
until 900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms will continue
to develop and intensify this afternoon into the evening over the
Watch area. A few supercells and stronger multicells will
potentially be capable of a risk for large hail (1 to 2 inches in
diameter) and severe gusts (60 to 70 mph).
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles north northeast
of Santa Fe NM to 120 miles south southeast of Alamogordo NM. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26015.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 436 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 192055Z - 200300Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NNE SAF/SANTA FE NM/ - 120SSE ALM/ALAMOGORDO NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM E/W /41WNW FTI - 60SE ELP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26015.
LAT...LON 35930528 31240473 31240592 35930653
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 436 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 436
VALID 200255Z - 200300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S ALM TO
45 SSW ROW.
REMAING VALID PORTION OF WW 436 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 20/03Z.
..EDWARDS..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-035-047-200300-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE OTERO SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC141-229-200300-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 436
VALID 200145Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E ONM TO
40 N LVS.
..THORNTON..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-027-035-047-200240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE LINCOLN OTERO
SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC141-229-200240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 436
VALID 200050Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW 4CR
TO 40 N LVS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1337
..THORNTON..06/20/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-027-035-047-200140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE LINCOLN OTERO
SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC141-229-200140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 436
VALID 192330Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/19/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-027-028-035-043-047-049-057-200040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE LINCOLN LOS ALAMOS
OTERO SANDOVAL SAN MIGUEL
SANTA FE TORRANCE
$$
TXC141-229-200040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 436
VALID 192235Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/19/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-027-028-035-043-047-049-057-192340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE LINCOLN LOS ALAMOS
OTERO SANDOVAL SAN MIGUEL
SANTA FE TORRANCE
$$
TXC141-229-192340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 436
VALID 192155Z - 192240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/19/24
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-027-028-035-043-047-049-057-192240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE LINCOLN LOS ALAMOS
OTERO SANDOVAL SAN MIGUEL
SANTA FE TORRANCE
$$
TXC141-229-192240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EL PASO HUDSPETH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
