Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 436
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM EDT Sun Jul 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Kentucky
Southeast Ohio
Far southwest Virginia
Western to central West Virginia
* Effective this Sunday afternoon from 445 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multicell clusters will spread east-northeast across parts
of the Cumberland Plateau and Ohio Valley and may linger through
much of the evening over the central and southern Appalachians.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles south southeast
of London KY to 20 miles north northeast of Parkersburg WV. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 430...WW 431...WW
432...WW 433...WW 434...WW 435...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 436 SEVERE TSTM KY OH VA WV 022045Z - 030400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30SSE LOZ/LONDON KY/ - 20NNE PKB/PARKERSBURG WV/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /24SSE LOZ - 32SW AIR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 36668514 39618260 39617997 36668261
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 436 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 436
VALID 030335Z - 030400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 E BWG TO
20 SSE JKL TO 55 WNW BLF TO 15 NNE CRW TO 30 SW EKN.
WW 436 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 030400Z.
..DEAN..07/03/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-051-095-119-121-125-131-133-147-193-195-199-231-235-
030400-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL CLAY HARLAN
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
PERRY PIKE PULASKI
WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
VAC027-051-030400-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-015-019-039-045-047-059-067-081-087-109-030400-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CLAY
FAYETTE KANAWHA LOGAN
MCDOWELL MINGO NICHOLAS
RALEIGH ROANE WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 436
VALID 030245Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 E BWG TO
20 SE JKL TO 25 SE HTS TO 30 WNW CRW TO 15 N ZZV.
..DEAN..07/03/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-119-121-125-131-133-147-159-189-193-
195-199-231-235-030340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MARTIN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE PULASKI WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
OHC009-105-115-167-030340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS MEIGS MORGAN
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-030340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-067-
073-079-081-085-087-095-105-107-109-030340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER JACKSON KANAWHA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MASON MINGO NICHOLAS
PLEASANTS PUTNAM RALEIGH
RITCHIE ROANE TYLER
WIRT WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 436
VALID 030130Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE SDF
TO 25 N JKL TO 35 WNW HTS TO 40 E LUK.
..DEAN..07/03/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-109-115-119-121-125-127-
129-131-133-147-153-159-175-189-193-195-199-203-231-235-237-
030240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-030240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-030240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-
067-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-105-107-109-030240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RITCHIE ROANE
TYLER WAYNE WIRT
WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 436
VALID 030020Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1393
..THORNTON..07/03/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-030140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-030140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-030140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-
067-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-105-107-109-030140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RITCHIE ROANE
TYLER WAYNE WIRT
WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 436
VALID 022330Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..07/02/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-030040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-030040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-030040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-
067-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-105-107-109-030040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RITCHIE ROANE
TYLER WAYNE WIRT
WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 436
VALID 022230Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..07/02/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-022340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-022340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-022340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-
067-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-105-107-109-022340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RITCHIE ROANE
TYLER WAYNE WIRT
WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 436
VALID 022125Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..07/02/23
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 436
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-019-025-043-051-063-065-069-071-089-095-109-115-119-
121-125-127-129-131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-
199-203-205-231-235-237-022240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BOYD
BREATHITT CARTER CLAY
ELLIOTT ESTILL FLEMING
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LAWRENCE
LEE LESLIE LETCHER
MCCREARY MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
ROWAN WAYNE WHITLEY
WOLFE
$$
OHC009-053-079-087-105-115-127-163-167-022240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS GALLIA JACKSON
LAWRENCE MEIGS MORGAN
PERRY VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-022240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC005-007-011-013-015-017-019-021-035-039-043-045-047-053-059-
067-073-079-081-085-087-095-099-105-107-109-022240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRAXTON CABELL
CALHOUN CLAY DODDRIDGE
FAYETTE GILMER JACKSON
KANAWHA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCDOWELL MASON MINGO
NICHOLAS PLEASANTS PUTNAM
RALEIGH RITCHIE ROANE
TYLER WAYNE WIRT
WOOD WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.