Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 517
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Fri Aug 5 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
Central and Northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Friday afternoon from 520 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to develop
near a southwest/northeast-oriented boundary through
early/mid-evening. An unstable environment in the presence of modest
strength deep-layer winds will support potential for damaging winds
and possibly isolated large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 95 miles west southwest
of Chamberlain SD to 20 miles north of Detroit Lakes MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 517 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD 052220Z - 060500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
95WSW 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/ - 20N DTL/DETROIT LAKES MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /62NW ANW - 45SW BJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 43220226 47119716 47119460 43229987
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 517 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 517
VALID 060335Z - 060440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/06/22
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-051-087-107-111-149-155-167-060440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
GRANT MAHNOMEN NORMAN
OTTER TAIL STEVENS TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-060440-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-025-029-037-045-049-051-057-059-065-069-
073-075-077-085-091-095-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-060440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
CODINGTON DAY EDMUNDS
FAULK GRANT HAMLIN
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JERAULD JONES KINGSBURY
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
POTTER ROBERTS SPINK
STANLEY SULLY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 517
VALID 060135Z - 060240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/06/22
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-051-087-107-111-149-155-167-060240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
GRANT MAHNOMEN NORMAN
OTTER TAIL STEVENS TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-060240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-025-029-037-045-049-051-057-059-065-069-
073-075-077-085-091-095-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-060240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
CODINGTON DAY EDMUNDS
FAULK GRANT HAMLIN
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JERAULD JONES KINGSBURY
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
POTTER ROBERTS SPINK
STANLEY SULLY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 517
VALID 060030Z - 060140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/06/22
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-051-087-107-111-149-155-167-060140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
GRANT MAHNOMEN NORMAN
OTTER TAIL STEVENS TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-060140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-025-029-037-045-049-051-057-059-065-069-
073-075-077-085-091-095-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-060140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
CODINGTON DAY EDMUNDS
FAULK GRANT HAMLIN
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JERAULD JONES KINGSBURY
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
POTTER ROBERTS SPINK
STANLEY SULLY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 517
VALID 052335Z - 060040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..08/05/22
ATTN...WFO...FGF...ABR...MPX...FSD...UNR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 517
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-011-027-051-087-107-111-149-155-167-060040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BIG STONE CLAY
GRANT MAHNOMEN NORMAN
OTTER TAIL STEVENS TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-060040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
SDC005-007-013-015-017-025-029-037-045-049-051-057-059-065-069-
073-075-077-085-091-095-107-109-115-117-119-121-123-060040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEADLE BENNETT BROWN
BRULE BUFFALO CLARK
CODINGTON DAY EDMUNDS
FAULK GRANT HAMLIN
HAND HUGHES HYDE
JERAULD JONES KINGSBURY
LYMAN MARSHALL MELLETTE
POTTER ROBERTS SPINK
STANLEY SULLY TODD
TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.