Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 536
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far West-Central Minnesota
Central and Eastern North Dakota
Northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 1135 PM
until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will spread southeastward through the early
morning hours while posing a threat for large hail up to 1.5-2.5
inches in diameter, along with severe/damaging winds around 60-75
mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Garrison ND to 5 miles southwest of Watertown SD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 533...WW 534...WW 535...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Gleason
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 536
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far West-Central Minnesota
Central and Eastern North Dakota
Northeast South Dakota
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 1135 PM
until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will spread southeastward through the early
morning hours while posing a threat for large hail up to 1.5-2.5
inches in diameter, along with severe/damaging winds around 60-75
mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles east northeast
of Garrison ND to 5 miles southwest of Watertown SD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 533...WW 534...WW 535...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30035.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 536 SEVERE TSTM MN ND SD 150435Z - 151200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40ENE N60/GARRISON ND/ - 5SW ATY/WATERTOWN SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /35SE MOT - 59SE ABR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30035.
LAT...LON 47869901 44869569 44869875 47860225
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 536 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 536
VALID 150840Z - 150940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE MBG TO
45 S JMS TO 40 NE JMS.
..BROYLES..07/15/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 536
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-027-155-167-150940-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE CLAY TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC003-017-021-045-073-077-081-091-150940-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
LAMOURE RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT STEELE
$$
SDC013-025-029-037-039-051-057-089-091-109-115-150940-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN MCPHERSON MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 536
VALID 150745Z - 150840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE Y22
TO 50 WSW JMS TO 10 WSW DVL.
..BROYLES..07/15/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 536
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-027-155-167-150840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE CLAY TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC003-017-021-027-029-031-039-045-047-051-073-077-081-091-093-
150840-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS DICKEY
EDDY EMMONS FOSTER
GRIGGS LAMOURE LOGAN
MCINTOSH RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT STEELE STUTSMAN
$$
SDC013-025-029-037-039-051-057-089-091-109-115-150840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN MCPHERSON MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 536
VALID 150705Z - 150840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..07/15/24
ATTN...WFO...ABR...FGF...BIS...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 536
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC011-027-155-167-150840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIG STONE CLAY TRAVERSE
WILKIN
$$
NDC003-015-017-021-027-029-031-039-043-045-047-051-055-057-059-
065-073-077-081-083-091-093-103-150840-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES BURLEIGH CASS
DICKEY EDDY EMMONS
FOSTER GRIGGS KIDDER
LAMOURE LOGAN MCINTOSH
MCLEAN MERCER MORTON
OLIVER RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT SHERIDAN STEELE
STUTSMAN WELLS
$$
SDC013-025-029-037-039-051-057-089-091-109-115-150840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CLARK CODINGTON
DAY DEUEL GRANT
HAMLIN MCPHERSON MARSHALL
ROBERTS SPINK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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