Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 625
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwestern Arkansas
Southeastern Kansas
Southwestern and south-central Missouri
Western, central and northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday night from 600 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered pulse-severe downbursts with embedded damaging
gusts and large hail are possible from thunderstorms the next
several hours in a well-heated, unstable and very moist environment.
A few small clusters also may organize with cold-pool-driven wind
potential.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of
Clinton OK to 30 miles southeast of Fort Leonard Wood MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 623...WW 624...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Edwards
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 625
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Thu Aug 15 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwestern Arkansas
Southeastern Kansas
Southwestern and south-central Missouri
Western, central and northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Thursday night from 600 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Scattered pulse-severe downbursts with embedded damaging
gusts and large hail are possible from thunderstorms the next
several hours in a well-heated, unstable and very moist environment.
A few small clusters also may organize with cold-pool-driven wind
potential.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of
Clinton OK to 30 miles southeast of Fort Leonard Wood MO. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 623...WW 624...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 625 SEVERE TSTM AR KS MO OK 152300Z - 160500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30W CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 30SE TBN/FORT LEONARD WOOD MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /61S MMB - 73W FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 36129973 38249174 36659174 34539973
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 625 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 625
VALID 160440Z - 160540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CQB TO
5 NNW CQB TO 30 NNE CQB TO 30 ESE GMJ TO 30 SE SGF TO 15 SSE VIH.
..GOSS..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 625
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-143-160540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL WASHINGTON
$$
MOC043-065-067-091-105-149-153-161-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-
160540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHRISTIAN DENT DOUGLAS
HOWELL LACLEDE OREGON
OZARK PHELPS PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-037-041-097-107-111-143-145-160540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CREEK
DELAWARE MAYES OKFUSKEE
OKMULGEE TULSA WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 625
VALID 160335Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CQB TO
5 NE CQB TO 30 WNW TUL TO 20 WSW GMJ TO 20 SE SGF TO 5 ENE VIH.
..GOSS..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 625
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-143-160440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-091-105-119-149-153-161-169-203-209-213-215-
225-229-160440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS HOWELL LACLEDE
MCDONALD OREGON OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-037-041-081-097-107-111-131-143-145-160440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CREEK
DELAWARE LINCOLN MAYES
OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE ROGERS
TULSA WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 625
VALID 160220Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE CDS
TO 5 WNW OKC TO 15 SSE END TO 15 WNW SGF TO 5 ENE VIH.
..HALBERT..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 625
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-143-160340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-043-065-067-077-091-105-109-119-145-149-153-161-169-203-
209-213-215-225-229-160340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CHRISTIAN DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HOWELL
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
NEWTON OREGON OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-051-055-057-065-075-081-083-
087-097-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-125-131-133-143-145-147-
160340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CADDO CHEROKEE
CLEVELAND COMANCHE CRAIG
CREEK DELAWARE GRADY
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN MAYES OKFUSKEE
OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE OSAGE
OTTAWA PAWNEE PAYNE
POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS SEMINOLE
TULSA WAGONER WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 625
VALID 160035Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N CDS TO
30 NNW CHK TO 25 ESE P28.
..HALBERT..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...SGF...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 625
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC007-015-143-160140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL WASHINGTON
$$
KSC019-021-037-099-125-133-160140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
$$
MOC009-011-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109-
119-125-131-145-149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-217-225-229-
160140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MARIES MILLER
NEWTON OREGON OZARK
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS VERNON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-015-017-021-027-031-035-037-041-047-051-053-055-057-065-
071-073-075-081-083-087-097-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-
125-131-133-143-145-147-160140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CADDO CANADIAN
CHEROKEE CLEVELAND COMANCHE
CRAIG CREEK DELAWARE
GARFIELD GRADY GRANT
GREER HARMON JACKSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
MAYES NOBLE NOWATA
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
OSAGE OTTAWA PAWNEE
PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE ROGERS
SEMINOLE TULSA WAGONER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.