Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 627
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1055 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and south central Kansas
* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 1055 AM until
400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Elevated supercells may persist into the afternoon and
become rooted at the surface while moving southeastward. The more
intense storms will be capable of producing hail up to 2.5 inches in
diameter and severe outflow gusts up to 75 mph.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west of Dodge
City KS to 20 miles east northeast of Wichita KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30030.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 627 SEVERE TSTM KS 161555Z - 162100Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15W DDC/DODGE CITY KS/ - 20ENE ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /25ESE GCK - 23E ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 38570024 38569709 36969709 36970024
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 627 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 627
VALID 161925Z - 162040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1921
..THORNTON..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 627
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-025-033-035-077-079-095-097-113-151-155-159-173-
185-191-162040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CLARK COMANCHE COWLEY
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
KIOWA MCPHERSON PRATT
RENO RICE SEDGWICK
STAFFORD SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 627
VALID 161735Z - 161840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..08/16/24
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 627
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-015-025-033-035-047-077-079-095-097-113-145-151-155-
159-173-185-191-161840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BUTLER
CLARK COMANCHE COWLEY
EDWARDS HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN KIOWA MCPHERSON
PAWNEE PRATT RENO
RICE SEDGWICK STAFFORD
SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.