Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 640
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Mon Aug 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Idaho
Western and Central Montana
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forming over the mountains of northern
Idaho and western Montana. These storms will intensify and organize
through the afternoon and spread northeastward across the watch
area. Damaging wind gusts will be possible in the strongest storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles east southeast
of Salmon ID to 35 miles northeast of Cut Bank MT. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 639...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 640 SEVERE TSTM ID MT 192050Z - 200400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35ESE SMN/SALMON ID/ - 35NE CTB/CUT BANK MT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /34SW DLN - 54SE YQL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23025.
LAT...LON 44921465 48971338 48971029 44921179
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 640 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 640
VALID 200205Z - 200340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE GTF TO
35 SW GTF TO 10 ESE 3DU TO 50 NW SMN.
..GOSS..08/20/24
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 640
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC013-015-027-029-035-039-041-045-047-049-051-063-073-077-081-
099-101-200340-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASCADE CHOUTEAU FERGUS
FLATHEAD GLACIER GRANITE
HILL JUDITH BASIN LAKE
LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY MISSOULA
PONDERA POWELL RAVALLI
TETON TOOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 640
VALID 200140Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NW SMN TO
10 ESE 3DU TO 35 SW GTF TO 35 SE GTF.
..GOSS..08/20/24
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 640
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC013-015-027-029-035-039-041-045-047-049-051-063-073-077-081-
099-101-200240-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASCADE CHOUTEAU FERGUS
FLATHEAD GLACIER GRANITE
HILL JUDITH BASIN LAKE
LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY MISSOULA
PONDERA POWELL RAVALLI
TETON TOOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 640
VALID 200050Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW SMN
TO 30 S 3DU TO 25 W HLN TO 15 NE HLN TO 45 ENE HLN.
..GOSS..08/20/24
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 640
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MTC013-015-027-029-035-039-041-045-047-049-051-063-073-077-081-
099-101-200140-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASCADE CHOUTEAU FERGUS
FLATHEAD GLACIER GRANITE
HILL JUDITH BASIN LAKE
LEWIS AND CLARK LIBERTY MISSOULA
PONDERA POWELL RAVALLI
TETON TOOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 640
VALID 192350Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..08/19/24
ATTN...WFO...MSO...TFX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 640
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IDC059-200040-
ID
. IDAHO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEMHI
$$
MTC001-007-013-015-023-027-029-031-035-039-041-043-045-047-049-
051-057-059-063-073-077-081-093-099-101-200040-
MT
. MONTANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAVERHEAD BROADWATER CASCADE
CHOUTEAU DEER LODGE FERGUS
FLATHEAD GALLATIN GLACIER
GRANITE HILL JEFFERSON
JUDITH BASIN LAKE LEWIS AND CLARK
LIBERTY MADISON MEAGHER
MISSOULA PONDERA POWELL
RAVALLI SILVER BOW TETON
TOOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.