Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 684
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
Panhandle and South Plains of Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 535
PM until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A gradually increasing severe-thunderstorm threat is
expected through the remainder of this afternoon and evening, both
with initially isolated strong-severe convection already over
northeastern New Mexico moving southeastward, and additional
thunderstorms anticipated farther south through early tonight.
Severe gusts and hail are the main concerns.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Dalhart TX to 20 miles east southeast of Hobbs NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Edwards
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 684
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
535 PM CDT Fri Sep 15 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
Panhandle and South Plains of Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and Saturday morning from 535
PM until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A gradually increasing severe-thunderstorm threat is
expected through the remainder of this afternoon and evening, both
with initially isolated strong-severe convection already over
northeastern New Mexico moving southeastward, and additional
thunderstorms anticipated farther south through early tonight.
Severe gusts and hail are the main concerns.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Dalhart TX to 20 miles east southeast of Hobbs NM. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 684 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 152235Z - 160700Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW DHT/DALHART TX/ - 20ESE HOB/HOBBS NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /66NNE TCC - 45NNE INK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 36200161 32560144 32560436 36200465
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 684 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 684
VALID 160430Z - 160540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 W CVS TO
20 NE PVW.
..KERR..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-025-041-160540-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY LEA ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC017-045-069-079-107-115-125-153-165-189-219-279-303-305-345-
369-437-445-501-160540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY BRISCOE CASTRO
COCHRAN CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS FLOYD GAINES
HALE HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MOTLEY
PARMER SWISHER TERRY
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 684
VALID 160325Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW TCC TO
25 S TCC TO 20 SSE AMA.
..KERR..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-025-037-041-160440-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY LEA QUAY
ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC017-069-079-115-117-165-189-219-279-303-305-369-381-437-445-
501-160440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DAWSON DEAF SMITH GAINES
HALE HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN PARMER
RANDALL SWISHER TERRY
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 684
VALID 160230Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE LVS TO
20 ENE TCC TO 40 W AMA TO 10 ESE AMA.
..KERR..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-037-041-160340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE LEA
QUAY ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC017-069-079-115-117-165-189-219-279-303-305-369-381-437-445-
501-160340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DAWSON DEAF SMITH GAINES
HALE HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN PARMER
RANDALL SWISHER TERRY
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 684
VALID 160130Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE LVS
TO 35 SW DHT TO 10 WSW BGD.
..KERR..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-037-041-047-160240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE HARDING
LEA QUAY ROOSEVELT
SAN MIGUEL
$$
TXC017-069-079-115-117-165-189-219-279-303-305-359-369-375-381-
437-445-501-160240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DAWSON DEAF SMITH GAINES
HALE HOCKLEY LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SWISHER TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 684
VALID 160025Z - 160140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-037-041-047-059-160140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE HARDING
LEA QUAY ROOSEVELT
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
TXC017-069-079-111-115-117-165-189-205-219-279-303-305-341-359-
369-375-381-437-445-501-160140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAILEY CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DAWSON DEAF SMITH
GAINES HALE HARTLEY
HOCKLEY LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SWISHER TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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