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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 685
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 AM CDT Sat Sep 16 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West-central Texas
* Effective this Saturday morning from 540 AM until 1100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...A small MCS has recently intensified and will remain
capable of producing severe wind gusts as it spreads east-southeast
across parts of west-central Texas this morning.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles northwest of
San Angelo TX to 25 miles south southeast of Brownwood TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 685 SEVERE TSTM TX 161040Z - 161600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 25SSE BWD/BROWNWOOD TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /31NW SJT - 74NE JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 32520092 32259879 30679879 30930092
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 685 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 685
VALID 161435Z - 161540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W JCT TO
50 SSW BWD TO 30 SE BWD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2157.
..LEITMAN..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 685
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC267-319-411-161540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KIMBLE MASON SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 685
VALID 161335Z - 161440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S SJT TO
50 SW BWD TO 40 W BWD TO 15 ENE BWD.
..LEITMAN..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 685
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-083-267-307-319-327-411-161440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN COLEMAN KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
SAN SABA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 685
VALID 161255Z - 161340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WSW SJT
TO 25 NNE SJT TO 15 NNE ABI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2156
..BUNTING..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 685
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-083-095-235-267-307-319-327-399-411-413-441-451-
161340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COLEMAN
CONCHO IRION KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 685
VALID 161135Z - 161240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BUNTING..09/16/23
ATTN...WFO...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 685
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-235-267-307-319-327-353-399-411-413-431-
441-451-161240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO IRION
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD NOLAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER STERLING
TAYLOR TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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