Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 693
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
130 PM CDT Wed Oct 30 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern/Central Iowa
Extreme Northeast Kansas
Northern Missouri
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 130 PM
until 700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A bowing thunderstorm cluster will likely continue to pose
a threat for scattered severe/damaging winds potentially up to 70-80
mph as it continues east-northeastward across northern Missouri and
southern/central Iowa this afternoon and early evening. Isolated
hail and perhaps a tornado may also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles north
northwest of Saint Joseph MO to 5 miles northeast of Ottumwa IA. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 693 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO 301830Z - 310000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NNW STJ/SAINT JOSEPH MO/ - 5NE OTM/OTTUMWA IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /45ENE PWE - 41WSW IOW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 41319528 42029238 40289238 39579528
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 693 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 693
VALID 302225Z - 302340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW CDJ
TO 30 ESE LWD TO 25 NE OXV TO 25 S ALO.
..THORNTON..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-051-123-135-157-179-302340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS MAHASKA
MONROE POWESHIEK WAPELLO
$$
MOC001-079-171-197-211-302340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR GRUNDY PUTNAM
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 693
VALID 302125Z - 302240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FLV
TO 40 SW LWD TO 20 WSW LWD TO 15 ENE LWD TO 40 N OXV TO 25 SW ALO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2165
..THORNTON..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-051-099-117-123-125-127-135-157-171-179-185-302240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE DAVIS JASPER
LUCAS MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POWESHIEK
TAMA WAPELLO WAYNE
$$
MOC001-003-021-061-063-075-079-081-129-171-197-211-302240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BUCHANAN
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON MERCER
PUTNAM SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 693
VALID 302045Z - 302140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FLV
TO 35 SW LWD TO 25 SSW DSM TO 35 SSE FOD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2165
..MOORE..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-099-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-171-179-181-
185-302140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE POLK POWESHIEK
TAMA WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-021-061-063-079-081-129-171-197-211-302140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BUCHANAN DAVIESS
DEKALB GRUNDY HARRISON
MERCER PUTNAM SCHUYLER
SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 693
VALID 302045Z - 302140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW FLV
TO 35 SW LWD TO 25 SSW DSM TO 35 SSE FOD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2165
..MOORE..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC007-039-051-053-099-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-171-179-181-
185-302140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
APPANOOSE CLARKE DAVIS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE POLK POWESHIEK
TAMA WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
MOC001-021-061-063-079-081-129-171-197-211-302140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BUCHANAN DAVIESS
DEKALB GRUNDY HARRISON
MERCER PUTNAM SCHUYLER
SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 693
VALID 301930Z - 302040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE FNB
TO 35 ENE FNB TO 30 SE DNS.
..MOORE..10/30/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 693
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-039-049-051-053-077-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-
153-157-159-171-173-175-179-181-185-302040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
CLARKE DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR GUTHRIE JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC043-302040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DONIPHAN
$$
MOC001-003-021-061-063-075-079-081-129-147-171-197-211-227-
302040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDREW BUCHANAN
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON MERCER
NODAWAY PUTNAM SCHUYLER
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.