Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 270841
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0341 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2005
   
   VALID 271200Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE ERN HALF OF THE
   NATION THROUGH THE PERIOD. A DRY AIRMASS WILL RESULT WITH RH
   READINGS GENERALLY FROM 30-40 PERCENT ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS.
   FURTHER WEST...A LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NRN/CENTRAL HIGH
   PLAINS AHEAD OF A DEEPENING BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN STATES.
   THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE LEE
   TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE LEADING TO MODERATE SLY WINDS. MIN RH
   READING GENERALLY ABOVE 30 PERCENT WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...NRN AND CNTRL HIGH PLAINS...
   SSELY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 15 AND 25 MPH TODAY AS A
   MODERATE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT DEVELOPS BETWEEN THE DEEPENING
   LEE TROUGH AND HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MS VALLEY. WHERE THE
   LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE EXISTS AND MIXING WILL BE GREATEST... OVER
   THE NRN HIGH PLAINS...A THICK VEIL OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL MOVE IN THIS
   AFTERNOON. THIS SHOULD ACT TO LIMIT HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING MUCH
   ABOVE 70 DEG F. WITH DEWPTS IN THE 30S...MIN RH READINGS SHOULD
   GENERALLY BE ABOVE 30 PERCENT. FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...SLIGHTLY
   COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL EXIST OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WHICH
   SHOULD KEEP MIN RH READINGS ABOVE 35 PERCENT.
   
   ...ERN TX INTO THE SERN STATES...
   NNELY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ALONG THE SRN HALF OF A BROAD AREA
   OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE MID MS VALLEY. AVERAGE TO
   SLIGHTLY BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE OFFSET BY LOW DEWPTS. 
   MIN RH READINGS WILL AGAIN BE LOW /AROUND 35 PERCENT/ AND FIRE
   DANGERS  WILL REMAIN HIGH IN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THAT HAVE SEEN
   LITTLE RAINFALL IN THE LAST FEW WEEKS/MONTHS. LACK OF SUSTAINED
   WINDS GREATER THAN 10 MPH WILL PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT HOWEVER.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/27/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 270843
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0343 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2005
   
   VALID 281200Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGHING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST LEADING TO
   BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIPITATION AND
   LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS. SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL RESIDE OVER THE
   PLAINS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES A RESULT...ESPECIALLY IN THE
   NRN/CENTRAL PLAINS. A SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL DEEPEN OVER THE HIGH
   PLAINS DUE TO INCREASING WLY FLOW OVER THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL ACT TO
   MAINTAIN THE MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE PLAINS WHICH WILL
   SUPPORT SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH OVER MUCH OF THE NRN/CENTRAL
   PLAINS. GIVEN THE DEEPENING TREND IN THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
   WEST...SLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE SRN PLAINS DURING
   THE PERIOD. FURTHER EAST...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE SEWD ACROSS
   THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO. IN IT/S WAKE...LOW LEVEL NLY FLOW/SURFACE
   PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL INCREASE...SUPPORTING AN GREATER FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT OVER PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES.
   
   ...CNTRL/NRN PLAINS...
   SUSTAINED SLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH /GREATEST FROM THE DAKOTAS SWD
   INTO NRN KS/ WILL OCCUR. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FORECAST TO BE
   APPRECIABLY HIGH /ALBEIT ABOVE NORMAL/ WITH READINGS IN THE 60S TO
   LOWER 70S. DESPITE MEAGER MOISTURE RETURN OVER THE PLAINS...RH
   READINGS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 30-35 PERCENT...PRECLUDING A CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ...SRN PORTIONS OF THE SERN STATES...
   IN THE WAKE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
   WILL TIGHTEN BETWEEN A SURFACE WAVE OVER THE NRN GULF OF MEXICO AND
   HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. THE RESULT WILL BE AN
   INCREASE IN THE NLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE
   SERN STATES. A DRY AIRMASS WILL AGAIN SUPPORT MIN RH READINGS FROM
   30-35 PERCENT. GIVEN AN INCREASE IN NLY WINDS UP T0 15
   MPH...CONDITIONS WILL BE APPROACHING CRITICAL LEVELS. AREA WILL BE
   MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE UPGRADE IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 10/27/2005
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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