Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 200611
   
   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0111 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2008
   
   VALID 201200Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE EAST...THE UPPER TROUGH WILL DOMINATE WHILE PORTIONS OF THE
   SERN STATES WILL EXPERIENCE ANOTHER DAY OF CRITICALLY LOW RHS IN A
   PREDOMINANT NWLY/WLY FLOW. 
   
   IN THE WEST...THE LOW SITUATED OFFSHORE OF BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL
   BEGIN TO DEEPEN AND MOVE ONSHORE AS A JET AXIS DIGS INTO THE
   BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH. THIS WILL BEGIN A BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE
   OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...AND ALLOW FOR SWLY WINDS TO OVERSPREAD
   NRN CA/NV AND OR/WA/ID. IN CALIFORNIA...TWO SHORT WAVES MOVING INTO
   THE COAST MAY SUPPORT DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ...PORTIONS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
   THE LOW OFFSHORE OF BRITISH COLUMBIA WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO SHIFT
   CLOSER TO THE COAST...OVERSPREADING SWLY WINDS ACROSS A LARGE AREA.
   ALTHOUGH SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...STEEP LOW LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES AND DEEP MIXING WILL PROMOTE GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY ON
   THE ERN SLOPES OF THE CASCADES. TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S TO 90S WITH
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS WILL BE COMMON.
   
   ...CALIFORNIA...
   AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH...TWO SHORT WAVES CAN BE SEEN
   APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST...WITH EMBEDDED CONVECTION AND
   OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES OVER THE PACIFIC. THESE WAVES SHOULD
   MOVE ONSHORE AT PEAK HEATING...PROVIDING LIFT IN CONCERT WITH
   FAVORABLE UPSLOPE SUPPORT ALONG THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE INCREASE SUPPORTED BY WV IMAGERY AND FAVORABLE LIFT WILL BE
   CONDUCIVE FOR HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE
   VALLEYS. INVERTED-V TYPE PROFILES WITH STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   IN PEAK HEATING WILL PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS BENEATH DRY
   THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL AGITATE ANY ONGOING FIRES. LIGHTNING
   STRIKES WILL BE CAPABLE OF STARTING ADDITIONAL FIRES.  
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE. STRONG
   HEATING AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES INTO THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 115 F
   WILL ENHANCE FIRE THREAT IN RAIN PARCHED AREAS DESPITE LIGHT WINDS.
   
   ...INLAND SC/GA/AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE...
   PREDOMINANT NWLY/WLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR THE DRIER AIR MASS TO
   PERSIST FOR ONE MORE DAY AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COASTS.
   TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND LOWER 90S WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S...WHILE CLOSER TO THE
   FL COAST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 30 TO 35 WILL BE LIKELY. DESPITE
   LIGHT WINDS...LACK OF RECENT RAINFALL AND DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS
   A LARGE PORTION OF THE SOUTHEAST WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE THREAT.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/20/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 200714
   
   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0214 AM CDT FRI JUN 20 2008
   
   VALID 211200Z - 221200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   IN THE WEST...A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH WILL FINALLY SHIFT
   ONSHORE...OVERSPREADING STRONGER SWLY WINDS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   PACIFIC NORTHWEST. DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
   AFTERNOON CREATING GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. ACROSS THE SWRN
   STATES...HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ONCE AGAIN WITH
   TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOW 100S TO NEAR 115 DEGREES F.
   
   IN THE EAST...UPPER TROUGHING WILL DOMINATE ONCE AGAIN...ALTHOUGH
   RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RECOVER ACROSS THE SERN STATES. THIS WILL
   LIMIT THE FIRE DANGER.
   
   ...WA/OR/WRN ID/NRN CA/NV...
   DOUBLE BARREL LOW SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING OFFSHORE OF
   THE BRITISH COLUMBIA/PAC NW COAST WILL FINALLY SHIFT ONSHORE AND
   BECOME MORE NEGATIVELY TILTED BY SATURDAY/DAY 2. SWLY JET AXIS AND
   MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AT PEAK AFTERNOON
   HEATING. TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S WILL
   ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO DROP INTO THE TEENS ACROSS A WIDESPREAD
   AREA...WHILE STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND DEEP MIXING WILL
   PROMOTE GUSTY WINDS AT THE SURFACE. GIVEN INCREASE IN MID LEVEL
   MOISTURE WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING...AND
   MARGINAL INSTABILITY...DRY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE
   IN THE AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP IN GREATER MOISTURE
   HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE SOMEWHAT LONGER LIVED GIVEN FAVORABLE DEEP
   SHEAR PROFILES AND STRONG MID LEVEL FLOW. INVERTED-V TYPE PROFILES
   WILL SUPPORT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR THESE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH
   MAY AGITATE ONGOING FIRES...WHILE LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY IGNITE
   ADDITIONAL FIRES.
   
   ...SWRN STATES...
   ANOTHER DAY OF HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SWRN
   STATES WITH HIGH HAINES INDICES. TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB OVER 100
   DEGREES UP TO NEAR 115 IN LOWER VALLEYS. ALTHOUGH WINDS WILL BE
   SOMEWHAT MARGINAL...GUSTY NLY WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
   VALLEYS OF SRN CA IN THE AFTERNOON.
   
   ..HURLBUT.. 06/20/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
      

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