Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product
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FNUS21 KWNS 030751
DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 AM CDT SUN APR 03 2011
VALID 031200Z - 041200Z
...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN CO / SWRN KS /
TX-OK PANHANDLES / W TX / WRN OK / CNTRL AND ERN NM...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SWRN U.S. DESERTS
/ SWRN PORTIONS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS / WRN PORTIONS OF THE SRN
PLAINS...
...SYNOPSIS...
EARLY MORNING SATELLITE SHOWS A VIGOROUS UPPER TROUGH MOVING EWD
ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN WITH IT FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE CNTRL ROCKIES
BY THIS EVENING. IN THE LOW LEVELS...A LEAD CYCLONE WILL MOVE FROM
THE MID MO RIVER VALLEY TO THE GREAT LAKES AND A FRONTAL ZONE WILL
EXTEND SWWD TO THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WHERE ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP
EWD INTO S-CNTRL KS AS A COLD FRONT AND ACCOMPANYING WINDSHIFT PUSH
SWD OVER THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. S OF THIS FRONT AND W OF SSW-NNE ORIENTED DRYLINE
FROM THE TX EDWARDS PLATEAU TO PORTIONS OF CNTRL KS A VERY DRY AND
WARM AIRMASS WILL BE IN PLACE. WARM TO HOT TEMPS IN COMBINATION
WITH STRONG TO VERY STRONG WINDS AND SEVERE DROUGHT WILL YIELD
WIDESPREAD EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS OVER A LARGE PART OF THE CNTRL-SRN HIGH PLAINS.
...SERN CO / SWRN KS / TX-OK PANHANDLES / ERN NM...
STRONG SWLY-WLY FLOW ALOFT /75 KTS AT H5/ OVER THE SRN ROCKIES AND
ADJACENT PLAINS WITH ACCOMPANYING 30-50 KT H7 FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD
THE REGION. MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S MPH WITH GUSTS GENERALLY AOA 50 MPH /LOCALLY 75
MPH/--PROMOTING RAPID FIRE SPREAD. THIS IS SUPPORTED BY 60-75 MPH
GUSTS MEASURED EARLY THIS MORNING IN LEE OF THE FRONT RANGE IN CNTRL
CO. SUITE OF FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW DEEPLY MIXED PROFILES WITH
NEAR DRY ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES FROM THE SURFACE TO THE MID-LEVELS.
IN CONCERT...TEMPS WILL RAPIDLY RISE IN THE LATE MORNING HOURS AS
HIGH TEMPS PEAK FROM THE MID 70S IN SERN CO TO NEAR 100 DEG F OVER
PARTS OF THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. RH WILL PLUMMET CONCURRENTLY WITH
VALUES RANGING FROM THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOWER TEENS.
CURRENT INDICATIONS VIA THE LATEST 4-5 KM RESOLUTION WRF OUTPUT
DEPICT THE DRYLINE FROM NEAR THE I-44 CORRIDOR IN SWRN OK NNEWD INTO
CNTRL KS.
SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...STRONG SUSTAINED WINDS
20-30 MPH /GUSTS 40-50 MPH/ AND RH AOB 20 PERCENT NEAR THE KANSAS
PORTION OF THE DRYLINE TO SINGLE DIGITS IN SWRN TX WILL SUPPORT
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SWD
ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS WITH AN ACCOMPANYING WIND SHIFT.
..SMITH.. 04/03/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...