SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0222 FOR SERN LA..FAR SRN MS..SRN AL..
SWRN GA
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...

VALID 030915Z - 031200Z

HOURLY RAIN RATES APPROACHING 1-1.5 INCHES PER HOUR ALONG WITH
ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE FROM SMALL SCALE BOW ECHOES/BRIEF SUPERCELLS 
WILL CONTINUE OVER THIS REGION OVERNIGHT.  WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM
...THOUGH WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING AS CONVECTION OFF
SWRN LA COAST LIFTS NEWD AHEAD OF EJECTING UPPER SYSTEM.

SMALL BOWING SEGMENT IS NOW MOVING EWD AT 35 KT OVER MONROE CO/AL
...NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF E-W SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING INTO SRN
GA.  THIS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE INTO CONECUH/BUTLER/
CRENSHAW/NRN COVINGTON COUNTIES OVER THE NEXT HOUR.  THOUGH DEEP
LAYER SHEAR FROM 30-40 KT WILL REMAIN SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS OR BOW ECHOES NEAR THE BOUNDARY FROM FAR SERN LA INTO
SWRN GA...THE THREAT OF SURFACE-BASED CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
LIMITED AS BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY SAGS SLOWLY SEWD.

MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL STAY NORTH AND WEST OF THE SURFACE
FRONT WITHIN STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME.  THE STRONG UVV/S AND
DEEP MOIST LAYER WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH 
HOURLY RAIN RATES APPROACHING 1.5 INCHES/HOUR /AS EVIDENCED BY
CURRENT WSR-88D ESTIMATES./  THOUGH INDIVIDUAL CELLS WILL LIFT
NEWD...BROADER HEAVY RAIN AREA SHOULD CONTINUE SAGGING SLOWLY EWD.

..EVANS.. 03/03/01

...CORRECTED TYPOS IN FIRST AND LAST PARAGRAPH...