SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0792 FOR MIDDLE/ERN TN...SERN KY AND
   EXTREME WRN VIRGINIA
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 297...
   
   VALID 131132Z - 131230Z
   
   MOST INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM 15 W LOZ TO 20 W CSV
   MOVING EWD AT 40-45KT. A MESOLOW APPEARS TO BE LOCATED NEAR THE
   NORTH END OF LINE 25W OF LOZ WITH A MESOHIGH LOCATED NEAR THE KY/TN
   BORDER ABOUT 50 NE BNA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES AND
   STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS SUGGEST THAT DAMAGING
   WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT.
   
   MODELS SUGGEST WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN KY WILL MOVE INTO WV BY
   MID MORNING WITH THUNDERSTORM LINE MOVING INTO EXTREME WRN VA/ERN
   TN DURING THE NEXT HOUR. CURRENT SPEED OF LINE INDICATES
   STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MAY MOVE EWD OUT OF WATCH BY 1400Z AND NEW WW
   MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT 1 TO 2 HOURS TO THE EAST/NE OF CURRENT
   WATCH.    
   
   ..IMY.. 05/13/02