MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1225
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0941 PM CDT TUE JUN 03 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 040241Z - 040445Z
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS SERN QUARTER OF CO
INTO EXTREME WRN KS..
WE HAVE BEEN MONITORING AREAS OF E CENTRAL AND SERN CO INTO EXTREME
WRN KS AS STG/SVR TSTMS CONTINUE TO MOVE SWD JUST E OF THE FRONT
RANGE. MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SHOWS SR HELICITY VALUES AROUND 250 M2/S2
ENHANCED BY ELY FLOW IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AND NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS 35-40 KT OVER THE AREA INDICATING THAT SEVERE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE SWD THROUGH SERN CO POSSIBLY INTO THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES IN THE NEXT 3-6 HOURS AS ACTIVITY MOVES ALONG INSTABILITY
GRADIENT.
..MCCARTHY.. 06/04/2003
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
37000344 37120491 38110518 39180490 39340269 39040195
37090204
|