MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1284
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0900 PM CDT MON JUN 09 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS / WRN OK / EXTREME ERN TX PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 100200Z - 100300Z
A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL KS INTO WRN OK. LARGE
HAIL WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY SEVERE THREAT...WITH ISOLATED
TORNADOES POSSIBLE AS WELL.
CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED ON A NWD MOVING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY FROM CONVECTION FURTHER SOUTH. THIS INDICATES RELATIVELY
SMALL AMOUNTS OF CIN ARE PRESENT. ADDING MOISTURE REPRESENTATIVE OF
MOIST AXIS TO 00Z DDC RAOB SUPPORTS THIS ASSERTION. GIVEN VERY
STRONG INSTABILITY AND INCREASING SSWLY LLJ...CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. LARGE LOOP HODOGRAPHS WITH WEAK DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL MAKE FOR SLOW MOVING STORMS. TORNADOES WOULD
LIKELY BE BRIEF.
..JEWELL.. 06/10/2003
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...
37279763 34439879 34820045 37320027 39789994 39959971
39709718
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