Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sun Apr 21 16:08:02 UTC 2024 (20240421 1700Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20240421 1700Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   FNUS21 KWNS 211607

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1107 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

   Valid 211700Z - 221200Z


   The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with no changes
   or additions made.

   ..Squitieri.. 04/21/2024

   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0154 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024/

   A midlevel westerly jet streak will cross the northern Rockies
   during the afternoon, while a related cold front overspreads the
   region. Strong post-frontal winds are expected across northern MT,
   which could briefly overlap 20-30 percent RH. Dry/breezy pre-frontal
   conditions are also possible over eastern MT into the western
   Dakotas. While locally elevated conditions are possible for both
   areas, marginal fuels and a limited overlap of the strongest winds
   and lowest RH cast uncertainty on the large-fire threat.

   Farther east, breezy/gusty west-northwesterly winds and 25-35
   percent RH are possible from MN to Lower MI -- along the southern
   periphery of strong northwesterly flow aloft. This could yield
   locally elevated conditions, though these conditions appear too
   marginal for highlights, given the current state of fuels.

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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