Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook

Created: Sat Jan 29 07:19:03 UTC 2022 (20220129 1200Z Day 1 FireWX shapefile | 20220129 1200Z Day 1 FireWX KML)

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   FNUS21 KWNS 290717

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0117 AM CST Sat Jan 29 2022

   Valid 291200Z - 301200Z

   Predominantly northwesterly mid-level flow will persist across the
   central U.S as an upper trough ejects into the Atlantic today. A 500
   mb impulse embedded in the broader northwesterly mid-level flow will
   overspread the central Plains during the afternoon hours. As a
   result, a large enough span of overlapping 15 mph sustained
   northwesterly surface winds and 15-20 percent RH will develop by
   afternoon peak heating, warranting the maintenance of Elevated
   highlights despite cooler surface temperatures. Farther south across
   western Texas into central Oklahoma, 15-20 percent RH is expected
   due to broad lee troughing supporting the eastward push of dry air
   from the southern High Plains. Nonetheless, surface winds are
   expected to remain below 15 mph on a widespread basis per latest
   guidance consensus, precluding the introduction of Elevated
   highlights this outlook. Should any increase in surface winds become
   evident in later guidance, Elevated highlights may need to be added
   in the 17Z update.

   Dry and breezy northwesterly surface flow is expected across the
   Florida Peninsula, behind the surface cold front. However, fuels
   across the area remain poorly receptive to fire spread, hence the
   withholding of fire weather highlights.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/29/2022

   ...Please see for graphic product...


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