Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Fri Jul 26 16:34:03 UTC 2024 (
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ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL FNUS21 KWNS 261633 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Valid 261700Z - 271200Z The main change to this outlook was to add isolated dry thunderstorm highlights to portions of central and northern Utah. Thunderstorms from prior days may have tempered fuels to a degree. Nonetheless, a mix of wet and dry thunderstorms are expected later this afternoon and tonight, and some of these storms may pass over fuel beds that have experienced minimal rainfall. Otherwise, the previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with minor changes made to existing highlights to reflect the latest guidance consensus. ..Squitieri.. 07/26/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0145 AM CDT Fri Jul 26 2024/ ...Synopsis... Two primary synoptic features will be responsible for bringing elevated fire weather conditions to portions of the Northwest. A mid-level trough progressing eastward across the Bay Area and into the northern Great Basin will bring elevated fire weather conditions to portions of northeastern California, southern Oregon, and the Snake River Plain of Idaho, while an exiting jet streak associated with a trough centered over Saskatchewan will bring elevated fire weather conditions to portions of northern Montana. These elevated highlights are primarily confined to where the dry and windy conditions correspond to regions where wetting rainfall has not impacted fuels over the last several days. ...Pacific Northeast and the Snake River Plain... Portions of northeastern California into southwestern Oregon, as well as the eastern portions of the Snake River Plain in Idaho, are expected to have dry and windy conditions that overlap with receptive fuels. Some wetting rainfall has occurred over the last few days, but with recent lightning activity and some pockets of receptive fuels, some potential for wildfire spread exists with any previously existing fires and lightning ignitions. ...Northern Montana... Some uncertainty exists about the receptiveness of fuels over western portions of the highlight area due to recent wetting rainfall, but generally, 20-25 MPH winds and relative humidity values of 10-15% will overlap with pockets of receptive fuels. ...Dry Thunder... Portions of the Great Basin and far southern Montana may see a mix of dry and wet thunderstorms. Given the uncertainty in precipitation efficiency, and recent wetting rainfall over much of the area, dry thunder highlights have been withheld at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...