NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

A few severe storms remain possible tonight from the Mid-South into the lower Ohio Valley. Isolated severe storms also remain possible across portions of the High Plains and Mid-Atlantic.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Fri (06/22). See details...

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Thu (06/21)	Fri (06/22)	Sat (06/23)	Sun (06/24)	Mon (06/25)	Tue (06/26)	Wed (06/27)	Thu (06/28)
Severe	Slight	Slight	Slight	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Elevated	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 22 Jun

Tornado Probabilities: 22 Jun

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 22 Jun

Severe Hail Probabilities: 22 Jun

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 22 Jun

Significant Wind Probabilities: 22 Jun

Significant Hail Probabilities: 22 Jun

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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2018 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: June 21 2018 12:16 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 Jun

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 Jun

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 Jun

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 22 Jun

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Cohen, A.E.^*, R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers^*, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging Operational Meteorology and Academia through Experiential Education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma Classroom. Published in Bulletin of the AMS. [11263K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, and H.E. Brooks, 2017: Evaluation of Multiple Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes in Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [4533K PDF]
Cook, A.R., L.M. Leslie, D.B. Parsons, and J.T. Schaefer^*, 2017: The Impact of El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Winter and Early Spring U.S. Tornado Outbreaks. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [6970K PDF]
Thompson, R.L., B.T. Smith, J.S. Grams, A.R. Dean, J.C. Picca, A.E. Cohen, E.M. Leitman, A.M. Gleason, and P.T. Marsh, 2017: Tornado Damage Rating Probabilities Derived from WSR-88D Data. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [6455K PDF]
Rogers, J.W.^*, A.E. Cohen, and L.B. Carlaw, 2017: Convection during the North American Monsoon across Central and Southern Arizona: Applications to Operational Meteorology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [1458K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Jun 20, 2018	Tornado: 8	Wind: 76	Hail: 3

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