NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Damaging thunderstorm wind and isolated large hail are possible from portions of the central High Plains to the Mid-Atlantic. A tornado threat also exists over parts of the central Gulf Coast States to southwestern Georgia, east of the inland track of Tropical Storm Claudette.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE Related Information:

Visit National Hurricane Center for comprehensive information

Tornado Watch: 0285

Day 1 Outlook

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Sat (06/19)	Sun (06/20)	Mon (06/21)	Tue (06/22)	Wed (06/23)	Thu (06/24)	Fri (06/25)	Sat (06/26)
Severe	Slight	Slight	Slight	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Elevated	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 19 Jun

Tornado Probabilities: 19 Jun

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 19 Jun

Severe Hail Probabilities: 19 Jun

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 19 Jun

Significant Wind Probabilities: 19 Jun

Significant Hail Probabilities: 19 Jun

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


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Full-size plot here.

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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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2021 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: June 19 2021 12:26 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Jun

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Jun

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Jun

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Jun

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2021: An Hourly Climatology of Operational MRMS MESH-Diagnosed Severe and Significant Hail with Comparisons to Storm Data Hail Reports. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3931K PDF]
Gallo, B.T., J.K. Wolff, A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, L.R. Blank, B. Roberts, Y. Wang, C. Zhang, M. Xue, T. Supinie, L. Harris, L. Zhou, and C. Alexander, 2021: Exploring Convection-Allowing Model Evaluation Strategies for Severe Local Storms Using the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Model Core. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3188K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part II: Real-Time Applications to Tornado Warning Time Scales. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3246K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part I: Real-Time Probabilities of Peak Tornado Wind Speeds. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3291K PDF]
Roberts, B., B. T. Gallo, I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, D. C. Dowell, X. Wang, and Y. Wang, 2020: What Does a Convection-Allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting Thunderstorms?. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3423K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Jun 18, 2021	Tornado: 6	Wind: 97	Hail: 96

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