NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

Current time (in UTC/GMT/Zulu):

JavaScript Must Be Enabled.

A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

A few instances of large hail will remain possible mainly over a small portion of south central Texas through about 02Z. A few storms capable of hail might also develop from north central Texas into southeast Oklahoma tonight.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Tue (04/13). See details...

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Mon (04/12)	Tue (04/13)	Wed (04/14)	Thu (04/15)	Fri (04/16)	Sat (04/17)	Sun (04/18)	Mon (04/19)
Severe	Slight	Marginal	No Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Elevated	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

All Products

Watches

MDs

Outlooks

Fire

Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 13 Apr

Tornado Probabilities: 13 Apr

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 13 Apr

Severe Hail Probabilities: 13 Apr

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 13 Apr

Significant Wind Probabilities: 13 Apr

Significant Hail Probabilities: 13 Apr

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

Did You Know?

What's My Risk?

La tormenta factor de riesgo.

What's a Watch?

How's a Forecast Made?

Tornado Safety Tips

Forecast Tools

HREF

SREF

Mesoanalysis

Observed Soundings

Tornado Environment Browser

Upper-Air Maps

2021 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: April 12 2021 12:16 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 13 Apr

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 13 Apr

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 13 Apr

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 13 Apr

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2021: An Hourly Climatology of Operational MRMS MESH-Diagnosed Severe and Significant Hail with Comparisons to Storm Data Hail Reports. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3931K PDF]
Gallo, B.T., J.K. Wolff, A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, L.R. Blank, B. Roberts, Y. Wang, C. Zhang, M. Xue, T. Supinie, L. Harris, L. Zhou, and C. Alexander, 2021: Exploring Convection-Allowing Model Evaluation Strategies for Severe Local Storms Using the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Model Core. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3188K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part II: Real-Time Applications to Tornado Warning Time Scales. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3246K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part I: Real-Time Probabilities of Peak Tornado Wind Speeds. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3291K PDF]
Roberts, B., B. T. Gallo, I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, D. C. Dowell, X. Wang, and Y. Wang, 2020: What Does a Convection-Allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting Thunderstorms?. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3423K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Apr 11, 2021	Tornado: 0	Wind: 32	Hail: 22

Tweets by @NWSSPC