NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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A Moderate Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Severe thunderstorms are likely today into tonight across much of the central Plains and southern High Plains, with all aspects of severe weather expected. Additional severe thunderstorms are possible across the Ohio Valley to the Mid-Atlantic, accompanied by a risk for severe wind and hail.

For additional details, see the current Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO).

A multi-media briefing is also available.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Mon (05/27). See details...

Hazard	Sun (05/26)	Mon (05/27)	Tue (05/28)	Wed (05/29)	Thu (05/30)	Fri (05/31)	Sat (06/01)	Sun (06/02)
Severe	Moderate	Slight	Enhanced	Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 26 May

Tornado Probabilities: 26 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 26 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 26 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 26 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 26 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 26 May

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


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Full-size plot here.

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2019 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: May 26 2019 12:19 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 26 May

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 26 May

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 26 May

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 26 May

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Nauslar, N.J., B.J. Hatchett, T.J. Brown, M.L. Kaplan, and J.F. Mejia, 2019: Impact of the North American monsoon on wildfire activity in the southwest United States. Published in International Journal of Climatology. [2095K PDF]
Gallo, B.T., A.J. Clark, B.T. Smith, R.L. Thompson, I. Jirak, and S.R. Dembek, 2019: Incorporating UH Occurrence Time to Ensemble-Derived Tornado Probabilities. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [2272K PDF]
Edwards, R., J.T. Allen, and G.W. Carbin^*, 2018: Reliability and Climatological Impacts of Convective Wind Estimations. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [4825K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating Tornado Probability and Tornado Wind Speed Based on Statistical Models. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [1737K PDF]
Karstens, C.D., J. Correia Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D.R. Harrison, J.L. Cintineo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a Human-Machine Mix for Forecasting Severe Convective Events. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3926K PDF]
Nauslar, N.J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study. Published in Fire. [4280K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss^*, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers^*, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging Operational Meteorology and Academia through Experiential Education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma Classroom. Published in Bulletin of the AMS. [11263K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, H.E. Brooks, and I.L. Jirak, 2017: Evaluation of Multiple Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes in Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [4533K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

May 25, 2019	Tornado: 10	Wind: 214	Hail: 64

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