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Critical Fire Weather Conditions Today

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OREGON INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST CALIFORNIA... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IDAHO INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MONTANA...

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast.

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Thu (09/09)	Fri (09/10)	Sat (09/11)	Sun (09/12)	Mon (09/13)	Tue (09/14)	Wed (09/15)	Thu (09/16)
Severe	No Severe	Marginal	No Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Elevated	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 09 Sep

Tornado Probabilities: 09 Sep

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 09 Sep

Severe Hail Probabilities: 09 Sep

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 09 Sep

Significant Wind Probabilities: 09 Sep

Significant Hail Probabilities: 09 Sep

More severe weather climatology data here.

2021 Tornado Watch Summary

Page last modified: September 09 2021 12:26 UTC

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2021 Severe Tstm Watch Summary

Page last modified: September 09 2021 12:26 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 09 Sep

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 09 Sep

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 09 Sep

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 09 Sep

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Wendt, N.A., and I.L. Jirak, 2021: An Hourly Climatology of Operational MRMS MESH-Diagnosed Severe and Significant Hail with Comparisons to Storm Data Hail Reports. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3931K PDF]
Gallo, B.T., J.K. Wolff, A.J. Clark, I.L. Jirak, L.R. Blank, B. Roberts, Y. Wang, C. Zhang, M. Xue, T. Supinie, L. Harris, L. Zhou, and C. Alexander, 2021: Exploring Convection-Allowing Model Evaluation Strategies for Severe Local Storms Using the Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere (FV3) Model Core. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3188K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part II: Real-Time Applications to Tornado Warning Time Scales. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3246K PDF]
Smith, B.T., R.L. Thompson, D.A. Speheger, A.R. Dean, C.D. Karstens, and A.K. Anderson-Frey, 2020: WSR-88D Tornado Intensity Estimates. Part I: Real-Time Probabilities of Peak Tornado Wind Speeds. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3291K PDF]
Roberts, B., B. T. Gallo, I. L. Jirak, A. J. Clark, D. C. Dowell, X. Wang, and Y. Wang, 2020: What Does a Convection-Allowing Ensemble of Opportunity Buy Us in Forecasting Thunderstorms?. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3423K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Sep 07, 2021	Tornado: 1	Wind: 94	Hail: 124

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