NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

Current time (in UTC/GMT/Zulu):

JavaScript Must Be Enabled.

A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast for Thu (09/20)

Severe storms will be possible Thursday from portions of the central Plains northeastward to the Upper Great Lakes region.

For additional details, see the latest Day 2 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Thu (09/20). See details...

Hazard	Wed (09/19)	Thu (09/20)	Fri (09/21)	Sat (09/22)	Sun (09/23)	Mon (09/24)	Tue (09/25)	Wed (09/26)
Severe	Marginal	Slight	Slight	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

All Products

Watches

MDs

Outlooks

Fire

Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 19 Sep

Tornado Probabilities: 19 Sep

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 19 Sep

Severe Hail Probabilities: 19 Sep

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 19 Sep

Significant Wind Probabilities: 19 Sep

Significant Hail Probabilities: 19 Sep

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

Did You Know?

What's My Risk?

La tormenta factor de riesgo.

What's a Watch?

How's a Forecast Made?

Tornado Safety Tips

Forecast Tools

HREF

SREF

Mesoanalysis

Observed Soundings

Tornado Environment Browser

Upper-Air Maps

2018 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: September 18 2018 12:17 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Sep

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Sep

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Sep

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 19 Sep

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Edwards, R., J.T. Allen, and G.W. Carbin^*, 2018: Reliability and Climatological Impacts of Convective Wind Estimations. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [4825K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, J.B. Cohen, R.L. Thompson, and B.T. Smith, 2018: Simulating Tornado Probability and Tornado Wind Speed Based on Statistical Models. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [1737K PDF]
Karstens, C.D., J. Correia Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D.R. Harrison, J.L. Cinteneo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a Human-Machine Mix for Forecasting Severe Convective Events. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3926K PDF]
Nauslar, N.J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study. Published in Fire. [4280K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss^*, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers^*, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging Operational Meteorology and Academia through Experiential Education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma Classroom. Published in Bulletin of the AMS. [11263K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, H.E. Brooks, and I.L. Jirak, 2017: Evaluation of Multiple Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes in Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [4533K PDF]
Cook, A.R., L.M. Leslie, D.B. Parsons, and J.T. Schaefer^*, 2017: The Impact of El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Winter and Early Spring U.S. Tornado Outbreaks. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [6970K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Sep 17, 2018	Tornado: 16	Wind: 36	Hail: 8

Tweets by @NWSSPC