NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Severe thunderstorms associated with large hail, wind damage and a few tornadoes are expected across parts of the central and northern Plains eastward into the Upper Mississippi Valley today into tonight. Wind gusts of 60 to 85 mph and hailstones of greater than 2 inches in diameter will be possible from northern Nebraska northeastward into southwest and central Minnesota.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...

Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Mon (05/30). See details...

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Sun (05/29)	Mon (05/30)	Tue (05/31)	Wed (06/01)	Thu (06/02)	Fri (06/03)	Sat (06/04)	Sun (06/05)
Severe	Enhanced	Enhanced	Enhanced	Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Critical	Critical	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 29 May

Tornado Probabilities: 29 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 29 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 29 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 29 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 29 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 29 May

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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2022 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: May 28 2022 12:27 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 29 May

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 29 May

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 29 May

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 29 May

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Bentley, E.S., R.L. Thompson, B.R. Bowers, J.G. Gibbs, and S.E. Nelson, 2021: An Analysis of 2016-18 Tornadoes and National Weather Service Tornado Warnings across the Contiguous United States. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [2942K PDF]
Edwards, R., H.E. Brooks, and H. Cohn, 2021: Changes in Tornado Climatology Accompanying the Enhanced Fujita Scale. Published in J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. [2250K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., M.D. Flournoy, and H.E. Brooks, 2021: Examining Subdaily Tornado Warning Performance and Associated Environmental Characteristics. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [888K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., and H.E. Brooks, 2021: The Influence of Weather Watch Type on the Quality of Tornado Warnings and Its Implications for Future Forecasting Systems. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [537K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., J.N. Allan, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2021: An Analysis of Tornado Warning Reception and Response across Time: Leveraging Respondents' Confidence and a Nocturnal Tornado Climatology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [938K PDF]
Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., O. Bermudez, K. Negron-Hernandez, J. Lipski, E. Leitman, and K. Berry, 2021: Hazardous Weather Communication en Espanol: Challenges, Current Resources, and Future Practices. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. [5004K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

May 27, 2022	Tornado: 5	Wind: 173	Hail: 5

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