NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

Current time (in UTC/GMT/Zulu):

JavaScript Must Be Enabled.

A Slight Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Scattered damaging winds will be possible from parts of the Southeast to the Lower Missouri Valley this afternoon and evening. Scattered large hail and severe wind gusts are also possible in Montana from late afternoon through the evening.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

SPC Products Overview

Hazard	Thu (07/07)	Fri (07/08)	Sat (07/09)	Sun (07/10)	Mon (07/11)	Tue (07/12)	Wed (07/13)	Thu (07/14)
Severe	Slight	Slight	Slight	Severe	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Elevated	Elevated	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

All Products

Watches

MDs

Outlooks

Fire

Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 07 Jul

Tornado Probabilities: 07 Jul

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 07 Jul

Severe Hail Probabilities: 07 Jul

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 07 Jul

Significant Wind Probabilities: 07 Jul

Significant Hail Probabilities: 07 Jul

More severe weather climatology data here.

2022 Tornado Watch Summary

Page last modified: July 07 2022 12:27 UTC

Did You Know?

What's My Risk?

La tormenta factor de riesgo.

What's a Watch?

How's a Forecast Made?

Tornado Safety Tips

Forecast Tools

HREF

SREF

Mesoanalysis

Observed Soundings

Tornado Environment Browser

Upper-Air Maps

2022 Severe Tstm Watch Summary

Page last modified: July 07 2022 12:27 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jul

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jul

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jul

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 07 Jul

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Bentley, E.S., R.L. Thompson, B.R. Bowers, J.G. Gibbs, and S.E. Nelson, 2021: An Analysis of 2016-18 Tornadoes and National Weather Service Tornado Warnings across the Contiguous United States. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [2942K PDF]
Edwards, R., H.E. Brooks, and H. Cohn, 2021: Changes in Tornado Climatology Accompanying the Enhanced Fujita Scale. Published in J. Appl. Meteor. Clim. [2250K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., M.D. Flournoy, and H.E. Brooks, 2021: Examining Subdaily Tornado Warning Performance and Associated Environmental Characteristics. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [888K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., and H.E. Brooks, 2021: The Influence of Weather Watch Type on the Quality of Tornado Warnings and Its Implications for Future Forecasting Systems. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [537K PDF]
Krocak, M.J., J.N. Allan, J.T. Ripberger, C.L. Silva, and H.C. Jenkins-Smith, 2021: An Analysis of Tornado Warning Reception and Response across Time: Leveraging Respondents' Confidence and a Nocturnal Tornado Climatology. Published in Wea. Forecasting. [938K PDF]
Trujillo-Falcon, J.E., O. Bermudez, K. Negron-Hernandez, J. Lipski, E. Leitman, and K. Berry, 2021: Hazardous Weather Communication en Espanol: Challenges, Current Resources, and Future Practices. Published in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. [5004K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Jul 06, 2022	Tornado: 4	Wind: 277	Hail: 51

Tweets by @NWSSPC