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An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Scattered to numerous severe storms with damaging winds, a couple of tornadoes and isolated large hail are expected from late morning through the afternoon from central/eastern New York to the Mid_Atlantic. Damaging winds and isolated large hail will also be possible this afternoon and early tonight from eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle.
 For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

 Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Tue (05/17). See details...
Hazard Mon (05/16) Tue (05/17) Wed (05/18) Thu (05/19) Fri (05/20) Sat (05/21) Sun (05/22) Mon (05/23)
Severe Enhanced Slight Marginal Severe Severe Severe No Area No Area
Fire Elevated Critical No Area Critical No Area No Area No Area No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 16 May

Tornado Probabilities: 16 May

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 16 May

Severe Hail Probabilities: 16 May

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 16 May

Significant Wind Probabilities: 16 May

Significant Hail Probabilities: 16 May


More severe weather climatology data here.
2022 Tornado Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 16 2022 12:27 UTC
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2022 Severe Tstm Watch Summary
Page last modified: May 16 2022 12:27 UTC
Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 16 May

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 16 May

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 16 May

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 16 May


More wildfire climatology data here.
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May 15, 2022 Tornado: 2 Wind: 149 Hail: 139