NOAA/NWS Storm Prediction Center

Current time (in UTC/GMT/Zulu):

JavaScript Must Be Enabled.

An Enhanced Risk of Severe Thunderstorms is Forecast Today and/or Tonight

Scattered severe storms are likely across the Mid-South into early evening. Damaging winds should be the primary hazard, but a couple tornadoes and large hail are possible.

For additional details, see the latest Day 1 Convective Outlook.

Hazard	Sat (08/18)	Sun (08/19)	Mon (08/20)	Tue (08/21)	Wed (08/22)	Thu (08/23)	Fri (08/24)	Sat (08/25)
Severe	Enhanced	Slight	Marginal	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area
Fire	Elevated	Elevated	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area	No Area

All Products

Watches

MDs

Outlooks

Fire

Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 20 Aug

Tornado Probabilities: 20 Aug

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 20 Aug

Severe Hail Probabilities: 20 Aug

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 20 Aug

Significant Wind Probabilities: 20 Aug

Significant Hail Probabilities: 20 Aug

More severe weather climatology data here.

Today's Storm Report Trend


report time

Full-size plot here.

Did You Know?

What's My Risk?

La tormenta factor de riesgo.

What's a Watch?

How's a Forecast Made?

Tornado Safety Tips

Forecast Tools

HREF

SREF

Mesoanalysis

Observed Soundings

Tornado Environment Browser

Upper-Air Maps

2018 Watch Summaries

Page last modified: August 18 2018 12:17 UTC

Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 20 Aug

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 20 Aug

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 20 Aug

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 20 Aug

More wildfire climatology data here.

Latest SPC Publications

Edwards, R., J.T. Allen, and G.W. Carbin^*, 2018: Reliability and Climatological Impacts of Convective Wind Estimations. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [4825K PDF]
Karstens, C.D., J. Correia Jr., D.S. LaDue, J. Wolfe, T.C. Meyer, D.R. Harrison, J.L. Cinteneo, K.M. Calhoun, T.M. Smith, A.E. Gerard, and L.P. Rothfusz, 2018: Development of a Human-Machine Mix for Forecasting Severe Convective Events. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [3926K PDF]
Nauslar, N.J., J.T. Abatzoglou, and P.T. Marsh, 2018: The 2017 North Bay and Southern California Fires: A Case Study. Published in Fire. [4280K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, R.L. Thompson, S.M. Cavallo, R. Edwards, S.J. Weiss^*, J.A. Hart, I.L. Jirak, W.F. Bunting, J.W. Rogers^*, S.F. Piltz, A.E. Gerard, A.D. Moore, D.J. Cornish, A.C. Boothe, and J.B. Cohen, 2018: Bridging Operational Meteorology and Academia through Experiential Education: The Storm Prediction Center in the University of Oklahoma Classroom. Published in Bulletin of the AMS. [11263K PDF]
Cohen, A.E.^*, S.M. Cavallo, M.C. Coniglio, and H.E. Brooks, 2017: Evaluation of Multiple Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization Schemes in Southeastern U.S. Cold Season Severe Weather Environments. Published in Weather and Forecasting. [4533K PDF]
Cook, A.R., L.M. Leslie, D.B. Parsons, and J.T. Schaefer^*, 2017: The Impact of El Nino - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Winter and Early Spring U.S. Tornado Outbreaks. Published in J. Clim. Appl. Meteor.. [6970K PDF]
Find more research articles at the SPC publication archive.

Latest SPC Case Archive

Aug 19, 2018	Tornado: 5	Wind: 27	Hail: 6

Tweets by @NWSSPC