MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0156 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2003
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 161856Z - 162000Z
THE THREAT FOR ISOLD MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
WILL INCREASE INTO THE EARLY EVENING. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
VSBL SATELLITE LOOPS AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW EVIDENCE OF A MCV OVER
EXTREME SERN SD AND IS MOVING EWD. SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A
BOUNDARY MOVING EWD INTO WCNTRL MN AND IS SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR
DEVELOPING TSTMS ESPECIALLY AS THE MCV MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. AIR
MASS DOWNSTREAM HAS HEATED CONSIDERABLY WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID-UPPER 80S COINCIDENT WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S. RESULTANT
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE YIELDS AN INVERTED-V TYPE SOUNDING AND AS
TSTMS MATURE...ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS MAY OCCUR. ISOLD
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR...THOUGH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS
NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...ON THE ORDER OF 25 KTS.
..RACY.. 06/16/2003
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...FSD...ABR...
44809716 45769603 46639562 47349457 47639381 47159305
46259316 45169374 44469470 43909543 43809663 44459712
|