MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0373
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0351 PM CDT FRI APR 08 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN KY INTO W VA AND PARTS OF SW VA
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106...
   
   VALID 082051Z - 082215Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106
   CONTINUES.
   
   SCATTERED STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD WITH
   FAVORABLE LARGE-SCALE FORCING AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONTAL WAVE ACROSS
   PARTS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA INTO THE CENTRAL
   APPALACHIANS.  AT LEAST IN THE NEAR TERM...A DRIER AND MORE STABLE
   ENVIRONMENT APPEARS LIKELY TO PRECLUDE OR INHIBIT DEVELOPMENT INTO
   THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN.  MORE LIKELY...A CONFLUENT
   LOW-LEVEL REGIME UPSTREAM OF ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL SUPPORT
   INCREASING NEW DEVELOPMENT WESTWARD ACROSS KENTUCKY INTO AREAS
   NEAR/SOUTH OF LEXINGTON AND LOUISVILLE BETWEEN NOW AND 23-00Z.  IN
   THE PEAK AFTERNOON HEATING...RUC GUIDANCE SUGGESTS MIXED LAYER CAPE
   HAS REACHED 1000-2000 J/KG.  AN INFLUX OF LOWER/MID 60S DEW
   POINTS...COINCIDING WITH STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...RELATIVELY
   COOL PROFILES AND STRONG SHEAR COULD STILL YIELD DAMAGING LARGE HAIL
   IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
   
   ..KERR.. 04/08/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...LMK...PAH...
   
   LAT...LON   38048422 38218324 38478235 38608148 38178076 37058138
               36768280 36698453 37048652 37268725 37528773 38078589
               38048422