MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1527
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0338 PM CDT WED JUL 06 2011
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...WRN KS...SWRN NEB...SERN WY
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 
   
   VALID 062038Z - 062145Z
   
   A WW MAY BE NEEDED.
   
   MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW AND OROGRAPHIC ASCENT CONTINUE TO FOSTER THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS CONVECTION OVER THE FRONT RANGE
   OF THE ROCKIES AND THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...AND OVER THE
   ADJACENT FOOTHILLS. MODESTLY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES OVERLAYING
   SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S RESULTING IN MLCAPE
   VALUES GENERALLY FROM 1000 TO 1500 J/KG WILL CONTINUE TO FOSTER THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. WLY FLOW
   OF 20 TO 30 KT IN THE 3-6-KM-AGL LAYER PER DENVER VWP DATA WILL
   SUPPORT SUFFICIENT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FOR CONVECTIVE
   ORGANIZATION...WITH MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND OCCASIONAL SUPERCELLS
   POSSIBLE. DMGG WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS
   WITH THIS ACTIVITY. LOCALIZED UPSCALE GROWTH RESULTING FROM MERGING
   COLD POOLS COULD BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN ENHANCED DMGG WIND THREAT
   OVER THE ADJACENT PLAINS...MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO
   EARLY EVENING HOURS.
   
   ..COHEN.. 07/06/2011
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...
   
   LAT...LON   41920233 40030133 37970182 37240296 37180416 38160511
               39380548 40480551 41510497 42140386 41920233