MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0108
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0242 AM CST SUN MAR 01 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL AR / S-CNTRL AND SERN MO

   CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

   VALID 010842Z - 011145Z

   SUMMARY...FREEZING RAIN RATES 0.05-0.10 INCH PER 3 HOURS ARE
   POSSIBLE THROUGH 12Z ACROSS N-CNTRL AR INTO PORTIONS OF SERN MO.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE OZARK
   PLATEAU AND MOVING NEWD TO TOWARDS THE MS-OH RIVER CONFLUENCE WITHIN
   A WARM CONVEYER.  GPS DATA AND SATELLITE-DERIVED DATA SHOW PW IN
   EXCESS OF 0.75 INCH OVER THE REGION TO THE N OF A STATIONARY SURFACE
   BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY EXTENDING INTO THE TN
   VALLEY.  SURFACE TEMPS GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE 27-32 DEG F RANGE AND
   INDICATE A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING NEAR-SURFACE LAYER BENEATH A MELTING
   LAYER WHICH FAVORS FREEZING RAIN P-TYPE.  MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
   ANOTHER FEW HOURS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION
   AND FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.05-0.10 INCH PER 3 HOURS ARE PROBABLE
   THROUGH 12Z.

   ..SMITH.. 03/01/2015


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...

   LAT...LON   36399309 37479123 37539025 37068945 36269102 35639177
               36399309