|
Mesoscale Discussion 561 |
< Previous MD Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0561
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0551 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...SERN CO / SWRN KS / WRN OK / TX-OK PANHANDLES / TX
LOW ROLLING PLAINS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 147...
VALID 091051Z - 091215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 147
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...AN ISOLD LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE AND NWRN TX AND EVENTUALLY MOVE DOWNSTREAM INTO WRN
OK...SWRN KS...AND PERHAPS EXTREME SERN CO.
DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE CELLS
IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF A PACIFIC COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE NM/TX
BORDER. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A LEAD MID-LEVEL VORTICITY
MAXIMUM APPROACHING THE S-CNTRL HIGH PLAINS FROM THE W EARLY THIS
MORNING. THE STRONG QG FORCING FOR ASCENT COUPLED WITH ADEQUATE
BUOYANCY AND STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAVE YIELDED AN ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR STORMS CAPABLE OF A LARGE-HAIL THREAT. CONFIDENCE IS
HIGH THE ACTIVITY OVER THE TX PANHANDLE WILL MOVE DOWNSTREAM INTO
WRN OK AND SWRN KS AND PERHAPS INCLUDE EXTREME SERN CO. AS A
RESULT...AN ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
NEEDED LATER THIS MORNING /1130-1230Z/ TO ADDRESS THE EVOLVING
THREAT.
..SMITH.. 05/09/2015
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 34170255 35360263 36100332 37650294 38650201 38669982
37849859 36069830 34439848 33180040 34170255
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|