MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0967
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0953 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 283...

   VALID 110253Z - 110400Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 283
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...ONGOING TSTM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO POSE AT LEAST A
   LOCALIZED SEVERE THREAT...PARTICULARLY AROUND THE FINGER LAKES...FOR
   AT LEAST THE NEXT HOUR. HOWEVER...A OVERALL DOWNWARD TREND IS STORM
   INTENSITY IS EXPECTED.

   DISCUSSION...ONGOING CONVECTION HAS PUSHED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT
   FROM ROUGHLY SYR NWD WITH MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY NOW ABSENT OF
   LIGHTNING ACTIVITY. THIS ACTIVITY IS MOVING INTO AN INCREASINGLY
   HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT WITH NO RE-INTENSIFICATION EXPECTED. 

   FARTHER S /AROUND THE FINGER LAKES/...ONGOING TSTM CONTINUES TO
   EXHIBIT SOME SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS WITH THE FORCING ALONG
   THE FRONT AND STRONG SHEAR HELPING TO OVERCOME THE MARGINAL
   THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT. SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THIS AREA WILL
   LIKELY PERSIST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT HOUR WITH A LOCAL EXTENSION OF
   THE WATCH LIKELY NEEDED TO COVER THE DOWNSTREAM SEVERE THREAT.

   ..MOSIER.. 06/11/2015


   ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

   LAT...LON   42467751 43767751 44647440 43327440 42467751