MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1767
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0644 PM CDT SUN SEP 06 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 062344Z - 070115Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS
   WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING. DUE TO LIMITED COVERAGE...WATCH
   ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...AT 2340Z...VIS IMAGERY DEPICTS DEVELOPING TCU ACROSS
   N-CNTRL KS...WITH ATTEMPTS AT DEEP CONVECTIVE INITIATION NOTED NEAR
   CNK AND NW OF SLN. CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG A SEWD
   MOVING COLD FRONT AND PREFONTAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...THOUGH RELATIVELY
   LIMITED LARGE-SCALE ASCENT WILL LIKELY KEEP COVERAGE ISOLATED. ANY
   STRONGER CORES WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND GIVEN THE
   HOT...WELL-MIXED ENVIRONMENT...BUT IT IS UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME AS TO
   WHETHER ANY CELLS WILL BECOME SUFFICIENTLY LARGE/WELL-ORGANIZED TO
   POSE A MORE SUBSTANTIAL WET MICROBURST THREAT. ANY SEVERE THREAT
   SHOULD WANE LATER THIS EVENING AS BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING COMMENCES.
   DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE THREAT...WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

   ..DEAN/CORFIDI.. 09/06/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

   LAT...LON   39089926 39409868 39939805 39939753 39939712 39359681
               38869710 38579736 38449813 38419859 38549900 38759929
               38979951 39089926