MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1891
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0732 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MS AND AL...WRN FL PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 522...

   VALID 261232Z - 261430Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 522 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A MARGINAL THREAT OF A WEAK/BRIEF TORNADO PERSISTS ACROSS
   COASTAL AREAS OF SRN MS...AL...AND THE FL PANHANDLE THIS MORNING.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR TRENDS HAVE SHOWN SOME WEAKENING WITH THE
   OFFSHORE COUPLETS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS AS THE DRY SLOT AND WARM
   CONVEYOR TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS SLIGHTLY COOLER SURFACE PROFILES.
   LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOWER 70S TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FL
   PANHANDLE WHICH RESULTS IN ONLY WEAK...SHALLOW CAPE PROFILES PER
   MODIFIED 12Z SOUNDINGS. HOWEVER...WIND SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN STRONG
   AND FAVORABLE IN A CONDITIONAL SENSE FOR ROTATION. IF SUFFICIENT
   DESTABILIZATION CAN OCCUR LATER TODAY...THEN ANOTHER TORNADO WATCH
   MAY BE CONSIDERED.

   ..JEWELL.. 10/26/2015


   ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...LIX...

   LAT...LON   29908845 30288858 30978896 31218881 31218836 30898726
               30688658 30408594 30218593 30258641 30308715 30118771
               29908845