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Mesoscale Discussion 1972
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1972
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0343 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...WESTERN
   KANSAS...EASTERN COLORADO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...FAR
   NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND FAR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO

   CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

   VALID 172143Z - 180145Z

   SUMMARY...AREAS OF HEAVY AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
   THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING AFTER ABOUT 03Z.

   DISCUSSION...CONTINUED ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
   OF VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL CYCLONE OVER CENTRAL KANSAS IS RESULTING IN
   LOCALIZED AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS PARTICULARLY
   IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.  LIGHTER SNOW/BLOWING SNOW HAS ALSO BEEN
   OBSERVED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE
   OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLES/NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.  THE BAND OF
   PRECIPITATION RESPONSIBLE FOR THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
   TO EVOLVE SLOWLY THROUGH 01Z AND SHOULD EVENTUALLY UNDERGO A
   WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME AS THE MID-LEVEL LOW MOVES SLOWLY AWAY
   FROM THE REGION.  PRECIPITATION SHOULD DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
   WITHIN THE BAND...ALTHOUGH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL REMAIN
   POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS GUSTY NORTH WINDS /PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 50
   MPH/ CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA.  BASED ON HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL
   GUIDANCE...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD END TOWARD 03Z IN
   SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...AND PERHAPS AS LATE AS
   05Z-07Z ACROSS NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.

   ..COOK.. 11/17/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   40470039 40490101 40210173 39790226 38950278 38240335
               37780379 37460403 36990405 36710388 36350354 36130310
               36000266 36000221 36190175 36480156 36740152 37070150
               37570150 38190136 38680110 39270066 39830030 40110022
               40400025 40470039 

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Page last modified: January 01, 1970
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