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Mesoscale Discussion 1972 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1972
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA...WESTERN
KANSAS...EASTERN COLORADO...WESTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE...FAR
NORTHWEST TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND FAR NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 172143Z - 180145Z
SUMMARY...AREAS OF HEAVY AND/OR BLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING BEFORE TAPERING AFTER ABOUT 03Z.
DISCUSSION...CONTINUED ISENTROPIC ASCENT ON NORTHWESTERN PERIPHERY
OF VIGOROUS MID-LEVEL CYCLONE OVER CENTRAL KANSAS IS RESULTING IN
LOCALIZED AREAS OF HEAVY SNOW AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS PARTICULARLY
IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS. LIGHTER SNOW/BLOWING SNOW HAS ALSO BEEN
OBSERVED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE
OKLAHOMA/TEXAS PANHANDLES/NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. THE BAND OF
PRECIPITATION RESPONSIBLE FOR THESE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED
TO EVOLVE SLOWLY THROUGH 01Z AND SHOULD EVENTUALLY UNDERGO A
WEAKENING TREND WITH TIME AS THE MID-LEVEL LOW MOVES SLOWLY AWAY
FROM THE REGION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD DIMINISH FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
WITHIN THE BAND...ALTHOUGH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS GUSTY NORTH WINDS /PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 50
MPH/ CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA. BASED ON HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL
GUIDANCE...MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD END TOWARD 03Z IN
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE DISCUSSION AREA...AND PERHAPS AS LATE AS
05Z-07Z ACROSS NORTHWESTERN KANSAS.
..COOK.. 11/17/2015
ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...
LAT...LON 40470039 40490101 40210173 39790226 38950278 38240335
37780379 37460403 36990405 36710388 36350354 36130310
36000266 36000221 36190175 36480156 36740152 37070150
37570150 38190136 38680110 39270066 39830030 40110022
40400025 40470039
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